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Model 1.2

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Pro Palazzolo v Piacenza

Pro Palazzolo
13:30Upcoming
Piacenza

Serie D - Girone B · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Pro PalazzoloDrawPiacenza
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Piacenza 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Piacenza just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Pro Palazzolo 34%, draw 28%, Piacenza 38%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Pro Palazzolo v PiacenzaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Pro Palazzolo win34%
Draw28%
Piacenza win38%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pro Palazzolo

Piacenza

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Piacenza7+814
12Pro Palazzolo8−410

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · piacenza winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
38% The market39%
Us38%
Market39%

We make Piacenza a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Pro Palazzolo v Piacenza1.21 – 1.29
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 13 SeptW2 D1 L3 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 10 v 1412 v 5
The market · Piacenza win39% · ours 38%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 19 OCT 01:3725 OCT 00:46
Our probability · Piacenza win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pro Palazzolo win34%32%+2
Draw28%29%−1
Piacenza win38%39%−1
Over 2.5 goals45%45%0
Both teams to score50%51%−1
Over 1.5 goals71%69%+2
Over 3.5 goals24%24%0
Pro Palazzolo or draw62%61%+1
Pro Palazzolo clean sheet28%––
Piacenza clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%
0123450 9.1 10.3 6.8 3.0 1 9.7 12.9 7.9 3.5 2 6.1 7.5 4.8 2.1 3 2.5 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pro Palazzolo down, Piacenza across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 4
Both scored0 of 4
Last meetingsPIA 0–1 PRO · PRO 2–0 PIA · PRO 0–0 PIA · PIA 0–1 PRO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 13 Sept

PRO PALAZZOLO

WLDWLL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 0–1

PIACENZA

LDWWDW0–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nibbiano & Valtidone8+921
2Chievo8+716
3Leon8+615
4Caldiero Terme9+315
5Piacenza7+814
6Villa Valle9+414
7Milan II6+112
8Virtus Verona8012
9Real Calepina8011
10Scanzorosciate9−210
11Pavonese7−310
12Pro Palazzolo8−410
13Virtus Ciserano Bergamo809
14Brusaporto9−59
15Rovato Vertovese8−37
16Club Milano8−37
17Fiorenzuola8−73
18Tritium8−112

The competition's standings before kick-off.