Piacenza v Caldiero Terme

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Piacenza win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Piacenza was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Piacenza v Caldiero Terme
4. 10′Piacenza score on 10′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–10
5. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Piacenza 1–0 Caldiero Terme
6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Piacenza win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
7. 11′We published Piacenza at 47%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–10
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 74–18–8
9. 35′We published Piacenza at 47%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
10. 45′HALF-TIME Piacenza 1–0 Caldiero Terme
11. 46′SECOND HALF Piacenza 1–0 Caldiero Terme
12. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Piacenza win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
13. 60′We published Piacenza at 47%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
14. 62′Caldiero Terme find the net on 61′. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–51–20
15. 62′We said Piacenza at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–20
16. 62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Piacenza 1–1 Caldiero Terme
17. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Piacenza win: 47% at kick-off, 29% now
18. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Draw is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Piacenza win 29%)
19. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Piacenza win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
20. 70′We said Piacenza at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–60–16
21. 76′We said Piacenza at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–68–13
22. 78′A goal for Piacenza on 78′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
23. 78′We published Piacenza at 47%. Our model now makes it 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
24. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Piacenza win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
25. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Piacenza 2–1 Caldiero Terme
26. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Piacenza win: 47% at kick-off, 88% now
27. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' Piacenza win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
28. 79′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 89–10–1
29. 80′Piacenza score on 80′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
30. 80′We published Piacenza at 47%. Our model now makes it 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
31. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Piacenza 3–1 Caldiero Terme
32. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Piacenza win: 47% at kick-off, 99% now
33. 81′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 99–1–0
34. 82′We published Piacenza at 47%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
35. FTFULL TIME Piacenza 3–1 Caldiero Terme
36. FTPiacenza 3–1 Caldiero Terme · Piacenza win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.