Pavonese v Fiorenzuola

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Pavonese win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Pavonese 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–30–31
3. 1′KICK-OFF Pavonese v Fiorenzuola
4. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Pavonese win 34%)
5. 45′Fiorenzuola score on 44′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 30–45–25
6. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Pavonese 1–1 Fiorenzuola
7. 45′HALF-TIME Pavonese 1–1 Fiorenzuola
8. 46′SECOND HALF Pavonese 1–1 Fiorenzuola
9. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Pavonese win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
10. 53′We said Pavonese at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–50–23
11. 60′We said Pavonese at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–55–20
12. 67′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–1 · 21–62–17
13. 69′We said Pavonese at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–64–16
14. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Pavonese win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
15. 76′We said Pavonese at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
16. 82′We said Pavonese at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
17. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Pavonese win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
18. 89′We said Pavonese at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
19. FTFULL TIME Pavonese 2–1 Fiorenzuola
20. FTPavonese 2–1 Fiorenzuola · Pavonese win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.