Nibbiano & Valtidone v Virtus Verona prediction · Serie D

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nibbiano & ValtidoneDrawVirtus Verona

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Nibbiano & Valtidone 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nibbiano & Valtidone are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nibbiano & Valtidone 48%, draw 28%, Virtus Verona 24%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Nibbiano & Valtidone v Virtus VeronaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Nibbiano & Valtidone win48%

Draw28%

Virtus Verona win24%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nibbiano & Valtidone

Virtus Verona

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nibbiano & valtidone winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Nibbiano & Valtidone a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nibbiano & Valtidone v Virtus Verona~~1.39 – 0.88

~~Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 21 v 12~~1 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nibbiano & Valtidone win	48%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Virtus Verona win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Nibbiano & Valtidone or draw	76%	–	–
Nibbiano & Valtidone clean sheet	42%	–	–
Virtus Verona clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.0%

0123450 11.2 8.8 4.0 1 14.0 12.7 5.4 2 9.9 8.4 3.7 3 4.7 4.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nibbiano & Valtidone down, Virtus Verona across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,826 Serie D - Girone B matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie D - Girone B matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.7% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Nibbiano & Valtidone at home: 2.25 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 4). Virtus Verona away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Nibbiano & Valtidone, 0.88 for Virtus Verona. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 Sept

NIBBIANO & VALTIDONE

WWWLWW2–1 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 1–0

VIRTUS VERONA

DWLLDW1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nibbiano & Valtidone	8	+9	21
2	Chievo	8	+7	16
3	Leon	8	+6	15
4	Caldiero Terme	9	+3	15
5	Piacenza	7	+8	14
6	Villa Valle	9	+4	14
7	Milan II	6	+1	12
8	Virtus Verona	8	0	12
9	Real Calepina	8	0	11
10	Scanzorosciate	9	−2	10
11	Pavonese	7	−3	10
12	Pro Palazzolo	8	−4	10
13	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	8	0	9
14	Brusaporto	9	−5	9
15	Rovato Vertovese	8	−3	7
16	Club Milano	8	−3	7
17	Fiorenzuola	8	−7	3
18	Tritium	8	−11	2