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Milan II v Piacenza
Milan IIPiacenzaSerie D - Girone B · WED 14 OCT · Stadio Felice Chinetti
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 13:28 · abandoned, not graded
Milan II win37%Piacenza win37%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00
VenueStadio Felice Chinetti
Match timeline
All events
Milan IIMINPiacenzaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Milan II
Piacenza
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Piacenza | 6 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Milan II | 5 | 0 | 9 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Milan II a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan II win | 37% | 30% | +8 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −2 |
| Piacenza win | 37% | 43% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 51% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 56% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 74% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 31% | +1 |
| Milan II or draw | 63% | 57% | +6 |
| Milan II clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Piacenza clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Serie D - Girone B since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B
MILAN II
PIACENZA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Chievo | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Leon | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Caldiero Terme | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Piacenza | 6 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 |  Villa Valle | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pro Palazzolo | 7 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 |  Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Milan II | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |  Brusaporto | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 |  Virtus Verona | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Real Calepina | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Scanzorosciate | 7 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Club Milano | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 |  Pavonese | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rovato Vertovese | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Fiorenzuola | 7 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tritium | 7 | -9 | 2 |
The competition's standings.