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Fiorenzuola v Rovato Vertovese

Fiorenzuola
13:30Upcoming
Rovato Vertovese

Serie D - Girone B · SUN 25 OCT · Stadio comunale

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FiorenzuolaDrawRovato Vertovese
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Fiorenzuola 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Fiorenzuola just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Fiorenzuola 37%, draw 29%, Rovato Vertovese 35%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Fiorenzuola v Rovato VertoveseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Fiorenzuola win37%
Draw29%
Rovato Vertovese win35%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 9

VenueStadio comunale

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fiorenzuola

Rovato Vertovese

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
15Rovato Vertovese8−37
17Fiorenzuola8−73

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fiorenzuola winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
37% The market37%
Us37%
Market37%

We make Fiorenzuola a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.2–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Fiorenzuola v Rovato Vertovese1.20 – 1.16
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 SeptW0 D3 L3 · W1 D4 L1
Table places · points 3 v 717 v 15
The market · Fiorenzuola win37% · ours 37%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40% 19 OCT 01:3724 OCT 23:41
Our probability · Fiorenzuola win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Fiorenzuola win37%37%0
Draw29%30%−1
Rovato Vertovese win35%33%+2
Over 2.5 goals42%43%−1
Both teams to score48%49%−1
Over 1.5 goals68%67%+1
Over 3.5 goals22%25%−3
Fiorenzuola or draw65%67%−2
Fiorenzuola clean sheet32%––
Rovato Vertovese clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%
0123450 10.2 10.6 6.4 2.5 1 10.9 13.2 7.4 2.9 2 6.8 7.6 4.4 3 2.8 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Fiorenzuola down, Rovato Vertovese across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 Sept

FIORENZUOLA

LLDDDL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–2

ROVATO VERTOVESE

DDDLWD1–1 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nibbiano & Valtidone8+921
2Chievo8+716
3Leon8+615
4Caldiero Terme9+315
5Piacenza7+814
6Villa Valle9+414
7Milan II6+112
8Virtus Verona8012
9Real Calepina8011
10Scanzorosciate9−210
11Pavonese7−310
12Pro Palazzolo8−410
13Virtus Ciserano Bergamo809
14Brusaporto9−59
15Rovato Vertovese8−37
16Club Milano8−37
17Fiorenzuola8−73
18Tritium8−112

The competition's standings before kick-off.