Chievo v Fiorenzuola prediction · Serie D

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ChievoDrawFiorenzuola

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Chievo 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chievo are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chievo 52%, draw 26%, Fiorenzuola 21%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Chievo v FiorenzuolaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Chievo win52%

Draw26%

Fiorenzuola win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chievo

Fiorenzuola

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Chievo	8	+7	16
17	Fiorenzuola	8	−7	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chievo winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Chievo a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Chievo v Fiorenzuola~~1.55 – 0.89

~~Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 16 v 3~~2 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Chievo win	52%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Fiorenzuola win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Chievo or draw	79%	–	–
Chievo clean sheet	42%	–	–
Fiorenzuola clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.2%

0123450 9.5 7.4 3.5 1 13.2 12.2 5.2 2 10.4 9.0 4.0 3 5.4 4.7 2.1 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Chievo down, Fiorenzuola across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,828 Serie D - Girone B matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie D - Girone B matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.4% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Chievo at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Fiorenzuola away: 0.25 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Chievo, 0.89 for Fiorenzuola. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 Sept

CHIEVO

WWLWDL2–0 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

FIORENZUOLA

LLDDDL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nibbiano & Valtidone	8	+9	21
2	Chievo	8	+7	16
3	Leon	8	+6	15
4	Caldiero Terme	9	+3	15
5	Piacenza	7	+8	14
6	Villa Valle	9	+4	14
7	Milan II	6	+1	12
8	Virtus Verona	8	0	12
9	Real Calepina	8	0	11
10	Scanzorosciate	9	−2	10
11	Pavonese	7	−3	10
12	Pro Palazzolo	8	−4	10
13	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	8	0	9
14	Brusaporto	9	−5	9
15	Rovato Vertovese	8	−3	7
16	Club Milano	8	−3	7
17	Fiorenzuola	8	−7	3
18	Tritium	8	−11	2