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Caldiero Terme v Brusaporto

Caldiero Terme
2–0Full time
Brusaporto

Serie D - Girone B · SAT 24 OCT · Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Caldiero Terme 2–0 Brusaporto CALDIERO TERME WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Caldiero Terme win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.423

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Caldiero Terme win at 47%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Caldiero Terme 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Caldiero Terme v Brusaporto
  4. 33′A goal for Caldiero Terme on 33′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–18–7
  5. 33′We said Caldiero Terme at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
  6. 33′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 75–18–7
  7. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Caldiero Terme 1–0 Brusaporto
  8. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Caldiero Terme win: 47% at kick-off, 75% now
  9. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Caldiero Terme win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
  10. 45′HALF-TIME Caldiero Terme 1–0 Brusaporto
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Caldiero Terme 1–0 Brusaporto
  12. 59′We said Caldiero Terme at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–4
  13. 60′Caldiero Terme score on 60′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  14. 60′We said Caldiero Terme at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
  15. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Caldiero Terme 2–0 Brusaporto
  16. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Caldiero Terme win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  17. 81′We said Caldiero Terme at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  18. FTFULL TIME Caldiero Terme 2–0 Brusaporto
  19. FTCaldiero Terme 2–0 Brusaporto · Caldiero Terme win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Caldiero Terme are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Caldiero Terme 47%, draw 26%, Brusaporto 27%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Caldiero Terme v BrusaportoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Caldiero Terme win47%
Draw26%
Brusaporto win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGroup B · matchday 9

VenueMario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Caldiero Terme

Brusaporto

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Caldiero Terme8+112
14Brusaporto8−39

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · caldiero terme winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Caldiero Terme a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Caldiero Terme v Brusaporto1.53 – 1.09
Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 12 v 96 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Caldiero Terme win47%––
Draw26%––
Brusaporto win27%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Caldiero Terme or draw73%––
Caldiero Terme clean sheet34%––
Brusaporto clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%
0123450 8.0 7.7 4.4 1 10.8 12.3 6.5 2.4 2 8.5 9.0 4.9 3 4.3 4.6 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Caldiero Terme down, Brusaporto across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsCAL 1–2 BRU · BRU 0–1 CAL · BRU 1–1 CAL · CAL 2–1 BRU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie D - Girone B this season · since 16 Sept

CALDIERO TERME

DWDWWL2–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–3

BRUSAPORTO

LWWLLL1–2 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nibbiano & Valtidone8+921
2Chievo8+716
3Leon8+615
4Piacenza7+814
5Villa Valle8+413
6Caldiero Terme8+112
7Milan II6+112
8Virtus Verona8012
9Real Calepina8011
10Pavonese7−310
11Pro Palazzolo8−410
12Virtus Ciserano Bergamo809
13Scanzorosciate8−29
14Brusaporto8−39
15Rovato Vertovese8−37
16Club Milano8−37
17Fiorenzuola8−73
18Tritium8−112

The competition's standings before kick-off.