Millesimo v Sanremese

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Millesimo win at 37%.
2. 7′3′: A. Klimavicius on the scoresheet for Sanremese, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–22–64
3. 7′We said Millesimo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–64
4. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–1 · 10–22–68
5. 34′We said Millesimo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–68
6. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Millesimo win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
7. 45′HALF-TIME Millesimo 0–1 Sanremese
8. 46′Millesimo find the net on 46′. 1–1. 1–1 · 28–45–26
9. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Millesimo 1–1 Sanremese
10. 46′SECOND HALF Millesimo 1–1 Sanremese
11. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Millesimo win: 37% at kick-off, 28% now
12. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Sanremese win 71%)
13. 47′Much as we predicted: Millesimo was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 28% now. 1–1 · 28–46–26
14. 55′We said Millesimo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–51–23
15. 57′We said Millesimo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–53–23
16. 68′We said Millesimo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–63–18
17. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Millesimo win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
18. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Millesimo win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
19. 89′We said Millesimo at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
20. FTFULL TIME Millesimo 1–1 Sanremese
21. FTMillesimo 1–1 Sanremese · Millesimo win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.