Lascaris v Alessandria

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lascaris win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Lascaris was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–29–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lascaris v Alessandria
4. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Lascaris win 33%)
5. 45′We published Lascaris at 37%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–20–7
6. 45′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 73–20–7
7. 45′HALF-TIME Lascaris 1–0 Alessandria
8. 46′SECOND HALF Lascaris 1–0 Alessandria
9. 48′Lascaris find the net on 45′. 1–0. 1–0 · 73–20–6
10. 48′⚽ GOAL · 45+3' Lascaris 1–0 Alessandria
11. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+3' Lascaris win: 37% at kick-off, 73% now
12. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Lascaris win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 20%)
13. 52′We published Lascaris at 37%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
14. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Lascaris win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
15. 65′We published Lascaris at 37%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
16. 74′We published Lascaris at 37%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–1
17. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Lascaris win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
18. 80′We published Lascaris at 37%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
19. 87′We published Lascaris at 37%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
20. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Lascaris win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
21. FTFULL TIME Lascaris 1–2 Alessandria
22. FTLascaris 1–2 Alessandria · Lascaris win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.