Team Altamura v Potenza

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Potenza win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Potenza 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 30–26–43
3. 1′KICK-OFF Team Altamura v Potenza
4. 3′We said Potenza at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 57–21–22
5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Team Altamura 1–0 Potenza
6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Potenza win: 43% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Team Altamura win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Potenza win 43%)
8. 4′A goal for Team Altamura on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 57–21–22
9. 15′We said Potenza at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 59–22–19
10. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Team Altamura 1–1 Potenza
11. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Potenza win: 43% at kick-off, 41% now
12. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Potenza win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Team Altamura win 59%)
13. 22′Potenza score on 22′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 29–30–40
14. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Potenza
15. 45′SECOND HALF Team Altamura 1–1 Potenza
16. 47′HALF-TIME Team Altamura 1–1 Potenza
17. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Potenza win 37%)
18. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Potenza win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
19. 52′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 25–43–33
20. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Potenza
21. 55′We said Potenza at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 24–45–31
22. 60′We said Potenza at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–49–29
23. 60′We said Potenza at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 2–1 · 71–22–7
24. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Team Altamura 2–1 Potenza
25. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Potenza win: 43% at kick-off, 7% now
26. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Team Altamura win is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Draw 49%)
27. 61′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 71–22–7
28. 62′Team Altamura find the net on 61′. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–22–6
29. 63′Team Altamura ahead on 60′ through T. Mogentale. 2–1. 2–1 · 73–22–6
30. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Team Altamura
31. 68′We said Potenza at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 76–20–4
32. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Team Altamura · On: L. Peschetola · Off: M. Bocic
33. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Potenza win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
34. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Potenza · On: A. Franzolini · Off: M. Castorani
35. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Potenza · On: C. Adjapong · Off: N. Kirwan
36. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Potenza · On: G. D'Auria · Off: M. dos Santos Corrected
37. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Potenza · On: J. Murano · Off: G. Selleri
38. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Team Altamura · On: L. Gagliardi · Off: M. Zazza
39. 83′We said Potenza at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–2 · 8–81–10
40. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Team Altamura 2–2 Potenza
41. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Potenza win: 43% at kick-off, 10% now
42. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Team Altamura win 88%)
43. 84′A goal for Potenza on 83′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 7–84–9
44. 85′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–85–8
45. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Potenza · On: N. Bruschi · Off: M. Ghisolfi
46. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Team Altamura · On: A. Ovalle Santos · Off: M. Rosafio
47. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Team Altamura · On: G. Malcore · Off: E. Gudelevicius
48. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Team Altamura
49. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Potenza win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
50. 95′2–2 at the end. Our 43% on Potenza misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
51. FTFULL TIME Team Altamura 2–2 Potenza
52. FTTeam Altamura 2–2 Potenza · Potenza win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.