Sorrento v Casertana

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Casertana win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Casertana was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 35–28–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sorrento v Casertana
4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Sorrento
5. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Casertana win 32%)
6. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Casertana
7. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' Sorrento
8. 45′SECOND HALF Sorrento 0–0 Casertana
9. 47′HALF-TIME Sorrento 0–0 Casertana
10. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Casertana · On: F. Belli · Off: S. Oukhadda
11. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Casertana win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
12. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 26–47–27
13. 59′We said Casertana at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 24–50–25
14. 62′We said Casertana at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 23–53–24
15. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Casertana
16. 71′We said Casertana at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 18–63–19
17. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Casertana · On: E. Piovanello · Off: A. Bentivegna
18. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Casertana · On: F. Di Tacchio · Off: S. Pezzella
19. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Sorrento · On: A. Bolzan · Off: E. Starita
20. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Casertana win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
21. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Casertana · On: J. Ajayi · Off: D. Castelli
22. 78′We said Casertana at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 13–73–14
23. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sorrento · On: S. Paglino · Off: M. Puzone
24. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sorrento · On: J. Bacci · Off: A. Potenza
25. 83′We said Casertana at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–83–9
26. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Sorrento
27. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Casertana win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
28. 90′We said Casertana at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
29. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Sorrento · On: F. Ricci · Off: S. Parker
30. 94′Full time, 0–0. We called Casertana at 37% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
31. FTFULL TIME Sorrento 0–0 Casertana
32. FTSorrento 0–0 Casertana · Casertana win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.