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Savoia v Inter U23

Savoia

2–1Full time

Inter U23

Serie C - Girone C · SAT 10 OCT · Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06

Savoia 2–1 Inter U23 SAVOIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Savoia win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.466

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 29 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Savoia win at 44%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Savoia 44% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–25–30
1′KICK-OFF Savoia v Inter U23
9′SUBSTITUTION · 8' Savoia · On: F. D'Amore · Off: F. Cozzoli
11′SUBSTITUTION · 9' Savoia · On: A. Zoboletti · Off: S. Iob
12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Savoia 1–0 Inter U23
20′SUBSTITUTION · 17' Inter U23 · On: L. Bovo · Off: L. Fiordilino
22′F. Meola scores for Savoia on 11′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–19–10
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Savoia win: 44% at kick-off, 71% now
42′We said Savoia at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–19–7
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Savoia win: 44% at kick-off, 74% now
45′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 74–19–7
45′HALF-TIME Savoia 1–0 Inter U23
46′SECOND HALF Savoia 1–0 Inter U23
49′SUBSTITUTION · 8' Savoia · On: F. D'Amore · Off: F. Cozzoli
49′SUBSTITUTION · 9' Savoia · On: A. Zoboletti · Off: S. Iob
49′⚽ GOAL · 11' Savoia 1–0 Inter U23 · F. Meola
49′SUBSTITUTION · 17' Inter U23 · On: L. Bovo · Off: L. Fiordilino
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Savoia 2–0 Inter U23
55′52′ and it is 2–0: F. Scotti on the scoresheet for Savoia. 2–0 · 95–4–1
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Savoia win: 44% at kick-off, 95% now
58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Inter U23 · On: R. Agbonifo · Off: T. Avitabile
59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Inter U23 · On: J. Zuberek · Off: M. Lavelli
59′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Inter U23 · On: F. Cerpelletti · Off: I. Kaczmarski
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Savoia 2–1 Inter U23
60′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Inter U23
70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Savoia · On: P. Yeboah · Off: A. Nepi
74′🟨 YELLOW · 71' L. Tosto · Inter U23
74′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Inter U23
77′Inter U23 ahead on 59′ through L. Bovo. 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Savoia win: 44% at kick-off, 87% now
80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Savoia
87′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Inter U23 · On: D. Sorino · Off: A. Donato
90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Savoia · On: G. Patrignani · Off: F. Scotti
90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Savoia · On: P. Riccardi · Off: V. Alfieri
FTFULL TIME Savoia 2–1 Inter U23
FTSavoia 2–1 Inter U23 · Savoia win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Savoia win44%

Draw26%

Inter U23 win29%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:30

Venue · Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro

Referee · C. Ursini

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Savoia

Formation not confirmed

22 M. Leonardo

30 C. Fabriani

26 M. Noce

27 F. Cozzoli

24 S. Iob

14 G. Tumbarello

6 V. Alfieri

18 A. Martina

8 F. Meola

90 A. Nepi

9 F. Scotti

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · K. Bethers

12 · P. Albanese

15 · A. Zoboletti

33 · F. D'Amore

11 · P. Riccardi

4 · G. Patrignani

85 · I. Kalynovych

77 · L. Ferrara

78 · L. Mormile

45 · P. Yeboah

7 · G. D'Agostino

28 · A. Gemello

17 · M. Polizzi

21 · A. Fiasco

Inter U23

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Melgrati

23 A. Donato

19 G. Prestia

5 L. Tosto

2 T. Avitabile

7 I. Kaczmarski

8 L. Fiordilino

3 M. Marello

30 M. Mosconi

45 M. Lavelli

99 T. Fumagalli

Coach · Stefano Vecchi

Substitutes

22 · A. Taho

95 · P. Raimondi

15 · F. Stante

80 · G. Garonetti

27 · M. Aidoo

24 · G. Re Cecconi

37 · D. Sorino

16 · M. Venturini

10 · R. Agbonifo

14 · L. Bovo

29 · M. Mancuso

4 · F. Cerpelletti

11 · J. Zuberek

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Savoia

Formation not confirmed

22 M. Leonardo

30 C. Fabriani

26 M. Noce

27 F. Cozzoli

24 S. Iob

14 G. Tumbarello

6 V. Alfieri

18 A. Martina

8 F. Meola

90 A. Nepi

9 F. Scotti

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · K. Bethers

12 · P. Albanese

15 · A. Zoboletti

33 · F. D'Amore

11 · P. Riccardi

4 · G. Patrignani

85 · I. Kalynovych

77 · L. Ferrara

78 · L. Mormile

45 · P. Yeboah

7 · G. D'Agostino

28 · A. Gemello

17 · M. Polizzi

21 · A. Fiasco

Inter U23

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Melgrati

23 A. Donato

19 G. Prestia

5 L. Tosto

2 T. Avitabile

7 I. Kaczmarski

8 L. Fiordilino

3 M. Marello

30 M. Mosconi

45 M. Lavelli

99 T. Fumagalli

Coach · Stefano Vecchi

Substitutes

22 · A. Taho

95 · P. Raimondi

15 · F. Stante

80 · G. Garonetti

27 · M. Aidoo

24 · G. Re Cecconi

37 · D. Sorino

16 · M. Venturini

10 · R. Agbonifo

14 · L. Bovo

29 · M. Mancuso

4 · F. Cerpelletti

11 · J. Zuberek

Our number · savoia winPublished 10 Oct 13:47

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Savoia a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Savoia win	44%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Inter U23 win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Savoia or draw	71%	–	–
Savoia clean sheet	30%	–	–
Inter U23 clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 7.2 7.0 4.7 1 9.0 12.3 7.1 2.9 2 7.5 8.9 5.5 2.3 3 3.9 4.7 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Savoia down, Inter U23 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,956 Serie C - Girone C matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie C - Girone C matches have gone over 2.5 in 50.0% of games this season, across 78 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Savoia at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Inter U23 away: 1.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Savoia, 1.23 for Inter U23. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C

SAVOIA

WDDDLD2–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 0–0

INTER U23

WDLLWW2–1 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 2–3 · 2–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Potenza	8	+10	19
2	Sorrento	8	+5	18
3	Bari	8	+5	16
4	Catania	8	+4	13
5	Salernitana	8	+2	12
6	SS Monopoli	8	+2	12
7	AZ Picerno	8	+1	12
8	Casertana	8	0	12
9	Audace Cerignola	8	+4	11
10	Foggia	8	+1	11
11	Cavese	8	0	11
12	Scafatese	7	+1	10
13	Inter U23	6	0	10
14	Casarano	8	−3	10
15	Team Altamura	8	−6	8
16	Savoia	8	−2	7
17	Barletta	8	−3	7
18	Giugliano	7	−4	7
19	Crotone	8	−4	6
20	Cosenza	8	−13	2