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Inter U23 v Sorrento
Inter U23
SorrentoSerie C - Girone C · SAT 24 OCT · Stadio Ernesto Breda
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Inter U23 win at 52%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Inter U23 was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
- 1′KICK-OFF Inter U23 v Sorrento
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Sorrento
- 45′HALF-TIME Inter U23 0–0 Sorrento
- 46′SECOND HALF Inter U23 0–0 Sorrento
- 47′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–38–22
- 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sorrento · On: V. Di Somma · Off: R. Cargnelutti
- 49′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–21
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Inter U23
- 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Inter U23 win 39%)
- 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–43–20
- 59′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–19
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Inter U23 · On: J. Iddrissou · Off: M. Lavelli
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Inter U23 · On: L. Fiordilino · Off: L. Bovo
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Inter U23 · On: I. Amerighi · Off: T. Avitabile
- 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
- 67′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sorrento · On: J. Bacci · Off: A. Potenza
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sorrento · On: E. Starita · Off: F. Ricci
- 71′Sorrento find the net on 71′. 0–1. 0–1 · 5–21–74
- 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Inter U23 0–1 Sorrento
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 5% now
- 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Sorrento win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 58%)
- 72′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Inter U23 · On: T. Fumagalli · Off: M. Mancuso
- 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Sorrento
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
- 85′A goal for Inter U23 on 84′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 10–84–6
- 85′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–1 · 10–84–6
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Inter U23 1–1 Sorrento
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 10% now
- 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Sorrento win 90%)
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Inter U23 · On: Charlys · Off: F. Stante
- 86′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–6
- 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Sorrento
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Sorrento
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Sorrento · On: N. Evangelisti · Off: M. Puzone
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
- FTFULL TIME Inter U23 1–1 Sorrento
- FTInter U23 1–1 Sorrento · Inter U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Inter U23 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Inter U23 52%, draw 25%, Sorrento 24%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Inter U23 win52%
Sorrento win24%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundGirone C · matchday 11
VenueStadio Ernesto Breda
RefereeG. Sciolti
Match timeline
All events
Inter U23MIN
SorrentoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Inter U23
Sorrento
Last match: 17 Oct · Serie C - Girone C
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie C - Girone C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Inter U23 a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter U23 win | 52% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Sorrento win | 24% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | – | – |
| Inter U23 or draw | 76% | – | – |
| Inter U23 clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Sorrento clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2025/26No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 12 Sept
INTER U23
SORRENTO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 11 | +13 | 26 |
| 2 | Bari | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Sorrento | 10 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Audace Cerignola | 10 | +9 | 17 |
| 5 | Casertana | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 6 | Catania | 10 | +6 | 16 |
| 7 | Cavese | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | SS Monopoli | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Scafatese | 9 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Inter U23 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | AZ Picerno | 10 | −1 | 12 |
| 13 | Team Altamura | 11 | −7 | 12 |
| 14 | Barletta | 10 | −2 | 11 |
| 15 | Foggia | 10 | −3 | 11 |
| 16 | Casarano | 10 | −6 | 11 |
| 17 | Savoia | 10 | −5 | 10 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 10 | −8 | 10 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 10 | −14 | 5 |
| 20 | Crotone | 10 | −5 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Potenza
Bari
Audace Cerignola
Casertana
Catania
Cavese
SS Monopoli
Scafatese
Salernitana
AZ Picerno
Team Altamura
Barletta
Foggia
Casarano
Savoia
Giugliano
Cosenza
Crotone