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Inter U23 v Sorrento

Inter U23
1–1Full time
Sorrento

Serie C - Girone C · SAT 24 OCT · Stadio Ernesto Breda

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 16:33
Inter U23 1–1 Sorrento INTER U23 WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Inter U23 win52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.889

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 29 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Inter U23 win at 52%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Inter U23 was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–25–24
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Inter U23 v Sorrento
  4. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
  5. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Sorrento
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Inter U23 0–0 Sorrento
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Inter U23 0–0 Sorrento
  8. 47′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–38–22
  9. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sorrento · On: V. Di Somma · Off: R. Cargnelutti
  10. 49′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–39–21
  11. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Inter U23
  12. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Inter U23 win 39%)
  13. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–43–20
  14. 59′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–19
  15. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Inter U23 · On: J. Iddrissou · Off: M. Lavelli
  16. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Inter U23 · On: L. Fiordilino · Off: L. Bovo
  17. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Inter U23 · On: I. Amerighi · Off: T. Avitabile
  18. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
  19. 67′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
  20. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sorrento · On: J. Bacci · Off: A. Potenza
  21. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sorrento · On: E. Starita · Off: F. Ricci
  22. 71′Sorrento find the net on 71′. 0–1. 0–1 · 5–21–74
  23. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Inter U23 0–1 Sorrento
  24. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 5% now
  25. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Sorrento win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 58%)
  26. 72′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
  27. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Inter U23 · On: T. Fumagalli · Off: M. Mancuso
  28. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Sorrento
  29. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  30. 85′A goal for Inter U23 on 84′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 10–84–6
  31. 85′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–1 · 10–84–6
  32. 85′⚽ GOAL · 84' Inter U23 1–1 Sorrento
  33. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 10% now
  34. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Sorrento win 90%)
  35. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Inter U23 · On: Charlys · Off: F. Stante
  36. 86′We said Inter U23 at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–6
  37. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Sorrento
  38. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Sorrento
  39. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Sorrento · On: N. Evangelisti · Off: M. Puzone
  40. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Inter U23 win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  41. FTFULL TIME Inter U23 1–1 Sorrento
  42. FTInter U23 1–1 Sorrento · Inter U23 win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inter U23 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter U23 52%, draw 25%, Sorrento 24%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Inter U23 v SorrentoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Inter U23 win52%
Draw25%
Sorrento win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30

RoundGirone C · matchday 11

VenueStadio Ernesto Breda

RefereeG. Sciolti

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter U23

Sorrento

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Sorrento10+419
11Inter U239+113

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inter u23 winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
52% The market–
Us52%

We make Inter U23 a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Inter U23 v Sorrento1.78 – 1.13
Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 12 SeptW3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 13 v 1911 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Inter U23 win52%––
Draw25%––
Sorrento win24%––
Over 2.5 goals55%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Inter U23 or draw76%––
Inter U23 clean sheet33%––
Sorrento clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%
0123450 6.5 5.5 3.6 1 9.0 11.5 6.1 2.3 2 8.5 9.4 5.3 2.1 3 5.1 5.6 3.2 4 2.3 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Inter U23 down, Sorrento across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 12 Sept

INTER U23

LWWLWL2–3 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 2–4

SORRENTO

WLLWLD3–2 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Potenza11+1326
2Bari11+721
3Sorrento10+419
4Audace Cerignola10+917
5Casertana11+217
6Catania10+616
7Cavese10+315
8SS Monopoli10+215
9Scafatese9+214
10Salernitana10+214
11Inter U239+113
12AZ Picerno10−112
13Team Altamura11−712
14Barletta10−211
15Foggia10−311
16Casarano10−611
17Savoia10−510
18Giugliano10−810
19Cosenza10−145
20Crotone10−51

The competition's standings before kick-off.