Inter U23 v Scafatese prediction · Serie C

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Inter U23DrawScafatese

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Inter U23 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inter U23 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter U23 45%, draw 25%, Scafatese 30%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Inter U23 v ScafateseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Inter U23 win45%

Draw25%

Scafatese win30%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 13:30

RoundGirone C · matchday 8

VenueStadio Ernesto Breda

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter U23

Scafatese

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Scafatese	10	+3	17
11	Inter U23	10	+1	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inter u23 winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:20 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Inter U23 a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Inter U23 v Scafatese~~1.71 – 1.37

~~Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 15 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 14 v 17~~11 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Inter U23 win

Published at 46%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter U23 win	45%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Scafatese win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Inter U23 or draw	70%	–	–
Inter U23 clean sheet	26%	–	–
Scafatese clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 5.7 5.7 4.4 2.0 1 7.3 11.3 7.2 3.3 2 6.7 8.9 6.1 2.8 3 3.8 5.1 3.5 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter U23 down, Scafatese across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,982 Serie C - Girone C matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie C - Girone C matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.9% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Inter U23 at home: 1.80 scored, 2.20 conceded a game (last 5). Scafatese away: 2.00 scored, 1.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Inter U23, 1.37 for Scafatese. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 15 Sept

INTER U23

WWLWLD2–0 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 2–4 · 1–1

SCAFATESE

DDWWDW0–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Potenza	11	+13	26
2	Bari	11	+7	21
3	Sorrento	11	+4	20
4	Audace Cerignola	10	+9	17
5	Scafatese	10	+3	17
6	Casertana	11	+2	17
7	Catania	10	+6	16
8	Cavese	10	+3	15
9	SS Monopoli	10	+2	15
10	Salernitana	10	+2	14
11	Inter U23	10	+1	14
12	AZ Picerno	10	−1	12
13	Team Altamura	11	−7	12
14	Barletta	11	−3	11
15	Foggia	10	−3	11
16	Savoia	11	−5	11
17	Casarano	10	−6	11
18	Giugliano	10	−8	10
19	Cosenza	11	−14	6
20	Crotone	10	−5	1