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Cosenza v Team Altamura

Cosenza
1–3Full time
Team Altamura

Serie C - Girone C · SUN 18 OCT · Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04
Cosenza 1–3 Team Altamura COSENZA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Cosenza win52%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.971
The market’s Brier score0.801

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 34 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cosenza win at 52%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Cosenza 52% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–28–21
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Cosenza v Team Altamura
  4. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Cosenza
  5. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
  6. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Cosenza
  7. 38′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–27–58
  8. 38′SUBSTITUTION · 36' Team Altamura · On: F. Pacia · Off: R. Pirrello
  9. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Cosenza 0–1 Team Altamura
  10. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 15% now
  11. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Team Altamura win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Cosenza win 15%)
  12. 39′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 15–27–58
  13. 39′A goal for Team Altamura on 39′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–27–58
  14. 40′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
  15. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Cosenza
  16. 44′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 40–41–19
  17. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Cosenza 1–1 Team Altamura
  18. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 40% now
  19. 45′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–42–19
  20. 45′Cosenza score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 39–42–19
  21. 45′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 13–27–61
  22. 45′SECOND HALF Cosenza 1–1 Team Altamura
  23. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Cosenza 1–2 Team Altamura
  24. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 13% now
  25. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Team Altamura win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Draw 27%)
  26. 46′Team Altamura find the net on 46′. 1–2. 1–2 · 12–27–61
  27. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Cosenza · On: F. Palazzino · Off: M. Almaviva
  28. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
  29. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Team Altamura win 18%)
  30. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Team Altamura · On: G. Malcore · Off: G. Simone
  31. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Team Altamura
  32. 49′HALF-TIME Cosenza 1–1 Team Altamura
  33. 51′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–3 · 2–8–90
  34. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Cosenza 1–3 Team Altamura
  35. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  36. 52′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 2–8–90
  37. 53′A goal for Team Altamura on 52′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 2–8–90
  38. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Cosenza · On: T. Petrovic · Off: N. Contiliano
  39. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Cosenza · On: A. Barone · Off: P. Dametto
  40. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Cosenza · On: A. D'Alena · Off: R. Palmieri
  41. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Team Altamura · On: L. Gagliardi · Off: M. Rosafio
  42. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Team Altamura · On: M. Calusic · Off: E. Gudelevicius
  43. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Team Altamura · On: L. Peschetola · Off: A. Curcio
  44. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Cosenza · On: D. Quieto · Off: A. Energe
  45. 83′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
  46. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Cosenza 1–4 Team Altamura
  47. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Cosenza
  48. 84′GOAL DISALLOWED · 84' Team Altamura
  49. 85′A goal for Team Altamura on 85′. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  50. 94′1–3 at the end. Our 52% on Cosenza misses, and the record keeps it. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  51. FTFULL TIME Cosenza 1–3 Team Altamura
  52. FTCosenza 1–3 Team Altamura · Cosenza win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cosenza are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cosenza 52%, draw 28%, Team Altamura 21%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Cosenza v Team AltamuraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Cosenza win52%
Draw28%
Team Altamura win21%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundGirone C · matchday 10

VenueStadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla

RefereeG. M. Manzo

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cosenza

Team Altamura

6Days since last match7

Last match: 12 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
17Team Altamura9−98
19Cosenza9−125

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cosenza winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:39 · locked at kick-off
52% The market43%
Us52%
Market43%

We make Cosenza a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cosenza v Team Altamura1.50 – 0.85
Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 11 SeptW1 D2 L3 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 5 v 819 v 17
The market · Cosenza win43% · ours 52%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 12 OCT 04:0218 OCT 13:17
Our probability · Cosenza win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cosenza win52%43%+9
Draw28%29%−1
Team Altamura win21%27%−6
Over 2.5 goals42%42%0
Both teams to score45%49%−4
Over 1.5 goals68%67%+1
Over 3.5 goals21%23%−2
Cosenza or draw79%73%+6
Cosenza clean sheet43%––
Team Altamura clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.5%
0123450 10.6 7.4 3.5 1 13.5 12.6 5.1 2 10.6 8.8 3.8 3 5.4 4.5 4 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Cosenza down, Team Altamura across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsCOS 1–0 TEA · TEA 1–1 COS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 11 Sept

COSENZA

DLDLLW0–0 · 2–5 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 2–1

TEAM ALTAMURA

LLWLDL0–3 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Potenza10+1325
2Bari9+719
3Sorrento9+418
4Catania10+616
5Casertana9+215
6SS Monopoli10+215
7Audace Cerignola9+514
8Scafatese9+214
9Salernitana10+214
10Inter U239+113
11AZ Picerno9012
12Cavese9012
13Foggia9−111
14Casarano9−311
15Savoia9−110
16Barletta9−38
17Team Altamura9−98
18Giugliano9−107
19Cosenza9−125
20Crotone9−50

The competition's standings before kick-off.