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Cosenza v Team Altamura
Cosenza
Team AltamuraSerie C - Girone C · SUN 18 OCT · Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Cosenza win at 52%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Cosenza 52% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–28–21
- 1′KICK-OFF Cosenza v Team Altamura
- 22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' Cosenza
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Cosenza
- 38′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–27–58
- 38′SUBSTITUTION · 36' Team Altamura · On: F. Pacia · Off: R. Pirrello
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Cosenza 0–1 Team Altamura
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 15% now
- 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Team Altamura win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Cosenza win 15%)
- 39′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 15–27–58
- 39′A goal for Team Altamura on 39′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 15–27–58
- 40′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
- 43′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Cosenza
- 44′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 40–41–19
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Cosenza 1–1 Team Altamura
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 40% now
- 45′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–42–19
- 45′Cosenza score on 45′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 39–42–19
- 45′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 13–27–61
- 45′SECOND HALF Cosenza 1–1 Team Altamura
- 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Cosenza 1–2 Team Altamura
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 13% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Team Altamura win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Draw 27%)
- 46′Team Altamura find the net on 46′. 1–2. 1–2 · 12–27–61
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Cosenza · On: F. Palazzino · Off: M. Almaviva
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Team Altamura win 18%)
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Team Altamura · On: G. Malcore · Off: G. Simone
- 49′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Team Altamura
- 49′HALF-TIME Cosenza 1–1 Team Altamura
- 51′We said Cosenza at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 1–3 · 2–8–90
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Cosenza 1–3 Team Altamura
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Cosenza win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
- 52′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 2–8–90
- 53′A goal for Team Altamura on 52′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 2–8–90
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Cosenza · On: T. Petrovic · Off: N. Contiliano
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Cosenza · On: A. Barone · Off: P. Dametto
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Cosenza · On: A. D'Alena · Off: R. Palmieri
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Team Altamura · On: L. Gagliardi · Off: M. Rosafio
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Team Altamura · On: M. Calusic · Off: E. Gudelevicius
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Team Altamura · On: L. Peschetola · Off: A. Curcio
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Cosenza · On: D. Quieto · Off: A. Energe
- 83′5 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 1–4 · 0–0–100
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Cosenza 1–4 Team Altamura
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Cosenza
- 84′GOAL DISALLOWED · 84' Team Altamura
- 85′A goal for Team Altamura on 85′. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 94′1–3 at the end. Our 52% on Cosenza misses, and the record keeps it. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Cosenza 1–3 Team Altamura
- FTCosenza 1–3 Team Altamura · Cosenza win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cosenza are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Cosenza 52%, draw 28%, Team Altamura 21%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Cosenza win52%
Team Altamura win21%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30
RoundGirone C · matchday 10
VenueStadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
RefereeG. M. Manzo
Match timeline
All events
CosenzaMIN
Team AltamuraEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Cosenza
Team Altamura
Last match: 12 Oct · Serie C - Girone C
Last match: 11 Oct · Serie C - Girone C
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cosenza a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 51%, 52% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 52% | 43% | +9 |
| Draw | 28% | 29% | −1 |
| Team Altamura win | 21% | 27% | −6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 42% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 49% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 67% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Cosenza or draw | 79% | 73% | +6 |
| Cosenza clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Team Altamura clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 11 Sept
COSENZA
TEAM ALTAMURA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potenza | 10 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 | Bari | 9 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sorrento | 9 | +4 | 18 |
| 4 | Catania | 10 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 | Casertana | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 | SS Monopoli | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Audace Cerignola | 9 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 | Scafatese | 9 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Salernitana | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Inter U23 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | AZ Picerno | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Cavese | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Foggia | 9 | −1 | 11 |
| 14 | Casarano | 9 | −3 | 11 |
| 15 | Savoia | 9 | −1 | 10 |
| 16 | Barletta | 9 | −3 | 8 |
| 17 | Team Altamura | 9 | −9 | 8 |
| 18 | Giugliano | 9 | −10 | 7 |
| 19 | Cosenza | 9 | −12 | 5 |
| 20 | Crotone | 9 | −5 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Potenza
Bari
Sorrento
Catania
Casertana
SS Monopoli
Audace Cerignola
Scafatese
Salernitana
Inter U23
AZ Picerno
Cavese
Foggia
Casarano
Savoia
Barletta
Giugliano
Crotone