Barletta v SS Monopoli prediction · Serie C

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

BarlettaDrawSS Monopoli

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Barletta 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Barletta are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Barletta 38%, draw 32%, SS Monopoli 31%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Barletta v SS MonopoliBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Barletta win38%

Draw32%

SS Monopoli win31%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:30

RoundGirone C · matchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Barletta

SS Monopoli

7Days since last match14

Last match: 24 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

Last match: 17 Oct · Serie C - Girone C

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	SS Monopoli	10	+2	15
14	Barletta	11	−3	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · barletta winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Barletta a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Barletta v SS Monopoli~~1.11 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 15 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 15~~14 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Barletta win	38%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
SS Monopoli win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	35%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Barletta or draw	69%	–	–
Barletta clean sheet	38%	–	–
SS Monopoli clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.0%

0123450 13.7 11.2 5.9 1 12.8 14.0 6.4 2.1 2 7.6 7.3 3.6 3 2.9 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Barletta down, SS Monopoli across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,982 Serie C - Girone C matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie C - Girone C matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.9% of games this season, across 104 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Barletta at home: 1.40 scored, 1.20 conceded a game (last 5). SS Monopoli away: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.11 goals for Barletta, 0.98 for SS Monopoli. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie C - Girone C this season · since 15 Sept

BARLETTA

DLLDWL0–0 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

SS MONOPOLI

DDWDLW0–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Potenza	11	+13	26
2	Bari	11	+7	21
3	Sorrento	11	+4	20
4	Audace Cerignola	10	+9	17
5	Scafatese	10	+3	17
6	Casertana	11	+2	17
7	Catania	10	+6	16
8	Cavese	10	+3	15
9	SS Monopoli	10	+2	15
10	Salernitana	10	+2	14
11	Inter U23	10	+1	14
12	AZ Picerno	10	−1	12
13	Team Altamura	11	−7	12
14	Barletta	11	−3	11
15	Foggia	10	−3	11
16	Savoia	11	−5	11
17	Casarano	10	−6	11
18	Giugliano	10	−8	10
19	Cosenza	11	−14	6
20	Crotone	10	−5	1