Bari v Crotone

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bari win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Bari was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–27–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bari v Crotone
4. 28′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Crotone
5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Bari win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
6. 45′SECOND HALF Bari 0–0 Crotone
7. 46′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–41–21
8. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 43' Bari · On: R. Burgio · Off: V. Mogos
9. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Bari · On: F. Bianchi · Off: L. Grgic
10. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Bari win 37%)
11. 50′HALF-TIME Bari 0–0 Crotone
12. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 51' Crotone · On: W. Feola · Off: I. Torres
13. 55′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–19
14. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–46–19
15. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Bari
16. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Bari win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
17. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Crotone
18. 64′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–54–17
19. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Bari · On: A. Celli · Off: M. Anzolin
20. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Bari · On: G. Gomez · Off: A. Tribuzzi
21. 70′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–61–14
22. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Bari win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
23. 76′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–11
24. 80′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
25. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Crotone
26. 84′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
27. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Bari win: 50% at kick-off, 9% now
28. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Bari · On: M. Esposito · Off: M. Della Morte
29. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Crotone · On: L. Russo · Off: F. Grosso
30. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Crotone · On: P. Rodriguez · Off: K. Barcella
31. 92′We said Bari at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
32. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Crotone · On: D. Russo · Off: A. Musso
33. 95′Full time, 0–0. We called Bari at 50% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
34. FTFULL TIME Bari 0–0 Crotone
35. FTBari 0–0 Crotone · Bari win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.