Spezia v Latina

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Spezia win at 51%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Spezia was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–29–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Spezia v Latina
4. 14′We published Spezia at 51%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–15–6
5. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Spezia 1–0 Latina
6. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Spezia win: 51% at kick-off, 79% now
7. 16′Spezia find the net on 16′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–15–6
8. 17′Spezia ahead on 15′ through A. Mateju. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–15–6
9. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Latina
10. 24′We published Spezia at 51%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–15–5
11. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 80–15–5
12. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Spezia win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
13. 45′SECOND HALF Spezia 1–0 Latina
14. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 33' M. Turati · Spezia
15. 47′HALF-TIME Spezia 1–0 Latina
16. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Latina
17. 50′🟥 RED CARD · 50' Spezia
18. 51′A red card for Spezia on 51′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 82–15–3
19. 51′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–46–18
20. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Spezia 1–1 Latina
21. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Spezia win: 51% at kick-off, 36% now
22. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Spezia win 82%)
23. 53′A goal for Latina on 52′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 35–48–17
24. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Spezia · On: D. Cazzadori · Off: K. Jimenez
25. 54′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–17
26. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Spezia win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
27. 62′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–55–15
28. 68′🟥 RED CARD · 68' Latina
29. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Latina · On: J. Lipani · Off: G. Castorri
30. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Latina · On: M. Porro · Off: B. Calabrese
31. 69′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
32. 69′Red cards for both sides: Spezia down to ten, Latina to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 24–63–13
33. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 68' F. Marenco · Latina
34. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Latina · On: M. Bruscagin · Off: G. Tomaselli
35. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Spezia win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
36. 75′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–10
37. 80′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–8
38. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Spezia · On: J. Oyono · Off: M. Durmush
39. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Spezia · On: D. Cancellieri · Off: S. Capolupo
40. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Spezia win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
41. 84′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
42. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Spezia
43. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Latina · On: L. Gagliano · Off: V. Plescia
44. 91′We said Spezia at 51%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
45. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Spezia · On: K. Cannavo · Off: M. Sapola
46. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Spezia · On: R. Fontanarosa · Off: A. Cardinali
47. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Spezia
48. 97′Full time, 1–1. We called Spezia at 51% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
49. FTFULL TIME Spezia 1–1 Latina
50. FTSpezia 1–1 Latina · Spezia win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.