Ravenna v Campobasso FC prediction · Serie C

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Ravenna 3–1 Campobasso FC RAVENNA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ravenna win~~49%

~~The market said~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.391

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.271

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ravenna win at 49%.
2′Much as we predicted: Ravenna was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–27–23
5′Much as we predicted: Ravenna was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–28–23
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Ravenna win: 49% at kick-off, 96% now
45′SECOND HALF Ravenna 2–0 Campobasso FC
46′Ravenna find the net on 45′. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–1
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Ravenna win: 49% at kick-off, 96% now
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Ravenna win: 49% at kick-off, 44% now
46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Ravenna 2–0 Campobasso FC
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Ravenna win: 49% at kick-off, 44% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Ravenna win: 49% at kick-off, 96% now
56′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Campobasso FC · On: L. Carfora · Off: Isaac Prado
57′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Campobasso FC · On: R. Di Vico · Off: D. Agazzi
57′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Campobasso FC · On: A. Galeandro · Off: F. Maisto
64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Ravenna
68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Ravenna 3–0 Campobasso FC · M. Maggio
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Ravenna · On: J. Tenkorang · Off: D. Casiraghi
68′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Ravenna · On: A. Bianconi · Off: G. Donati
68′⚽ GOAL · 69' Ravenna 3–0 Campobasso FC
69′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Campobasso FC · On: A. Pellitteri · Off: R. Fogliata
76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Ravenna · On: N. Viola · Off: Vinicius
76′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Ravenna · On: M. Fischnaller · Off: S. Rabbi
78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Ravenna · On: E. Soleri · Off: M. Maggio
84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Campobasso FC · On: E. Salines · Off: C. Cristallo
87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Ravenna 3–1 Campobasso FC · J. Tenkorang
87′⚽ GOAL · 88' Ravenna 3–1 Campobasso FC
89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Ravenna 3–1 Campobasso FC · M. Stoppa (assist R. Pierno)
93′⚽ GOAL · 93' Ravenna 4–1 Campobasso FC · M. Stoppa
94′⚽ GOAL · 94' Ravenna 4–1 Campobasso FC
FTFULL TIME Ravenna 3–1 Campobasso FC
FTRavenna 3–1 Campobasso FC · Ravenna win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Ravenna win49%

Draw29%

Campobasso FC win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

VenueStadio Comunale Bruno Benelli

RefereeA. Silvestri

Line-ups

Ravenna

Campobasso FC

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ravenna

Campobasso FC

7Days since last match7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Ravenna	8	+9	17
8	Campobasso FC	8	+1	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Ravenna

Formation not confirmed

22 G. Venturi

2 G. Donati

24 G. Zaro

21 A. Esposito

3 L. Falbo

4 Vinicius

77 L. Da Pozzo

17 L. Lonardi

8 D. Casiraghi

27 M. Maggio

9 S. Rabbi

Coach · Andrea Mandorlini

Substitutes

1 · T. Ciardi

12 · T. Stagni

44 · A. Bianconi

5 · M. Solini

19 · N. Viola

16 · J. Tenkorang

30 · M. Orellana

20 · G. Calandrini

6 · C. Ilari

23 · M. Fischnaller

7 · C. Spini

11 · E. Soleri

Campobasso FC

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Spurio

27 C. Cristallo

95 G. Corbo

4 C. Celesia

18 R. Pierno

21 R. Fogliata

34 D. Agazzi

28 F. Maisto

10 M. Stoppa

7 Isaac Prado

14 A. Bifulco

Coach · Devis Mangia

Substitutes

22 · R. Apsits

99 · C. Muzi

31 · E. Salines

30 · L. Coccia

77 · C. Aragona

19 · L. Blasi

23 · A. Pellitteri

8 · R. Di Vico

11 · L. Carfora

70 · S. Leonardi

92 · A. Galeandro

Our number · ravenna winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

49% The market58%

Us49%

~~Market~~58%

We make Ravenna a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · ravenna win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 56% to 58% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ravenna win	49%	58%	−9
Draw	29%	24%	+5
Campobasso FC win	22%	19%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	42%	55%	−13
Both teams to score	46%	53%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	69%	76%	−8
Over 3.5 goals	21%	34%	−13
Ravenna or draw	78%	81%	−4
Ravenna clean sheet	41%	–	–
Campobasso FC clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 10.9 7.5 3.9 1 12.8 13.2 5.5 2 10.0 8.8 3.9 3 4.9 4.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ravenna down, Campobasso FC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,958 Serie C - Girone B matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie C - Girone B matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.7% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ravenna at home: 2.00 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Campobasso FC away: 1.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Ravenna, 0.89 for Campobasso FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CAM 2–1 RAV · RAV 3–2 CAM

Form · last six in Serie C - Girone B

RAVENNA

DWWWWL0–0 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–2

CAMPOBASSO FC

LWDDWD2–4 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Spezia	9	+13	25
2	Grosseto	9	+8	18
3	Ravenna	8	+9	17
4	Reggiana	8	+5	14
5	Livorno	8	+1	14
6	Perugia	8	−3	13
7	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	8	+3	12
8	Campobasso FC	8	+1	12
9	Torres	8	0	12
10	Pescara	8	−1	11
11	Forli	8	+1	10
12	Ostia Mare	9	−1	9
13	Atalanta II	6	−2	9
14	Vado	8	−2	8
15	Pianese	9	−4	7
16	Pineto	8	−5	7
17	Gubbio	9	−8	7
18	Latina	7	−3	6
19	Sambenedettese	8	−3	5
20	Vis Pesaro	8	−9	4