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Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Forli

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
3–2Full time
Forli

Serie C - Girone B · SAT 17 OCT · Stadio Citta dell Aria

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 3–2 Forli GUIDONIA MONTECELIO 1937 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.488

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay24 notes · 31 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Forli
  4. 16′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–18–9
  5. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1–0 Forli
  6. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win: 43% at kick-off, 74% now
  7. 17′Guidonia Montecelio 1937 find the net on 17′. 1–0. 1–0 · 74–18–9
  8. 28′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
  9. 28′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 93%. 2–0 · 93–6–2
  10. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2–0 Forli
  11. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  12. 29′SUBSTITUTION · 27' Forli · On: L. Palomba · Off: S. Diop
  13. 30′A goal for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 on 29′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 93–6–1
  14. 43′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
  15. 45′SECOND HALF Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2–0 Forli
  16. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · On: A. Spavone · Off: E. Vertainen
  17. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Forli · On: T. Gabellini · Off: E. Petrelli
  18. 48′HALF-TIME Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2–0 Forli
  19. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 52' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · On: D. Zappella · Off: M. Tonetto
  20. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Forli
  21. 57′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
  22. 57′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 80–17–3
  23. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2–1 Forli
  24. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win: 43% at kick-off, 80% now
  25. 58′Forli score on 58′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 80–17–3
  26. 61′57′: T. Gabellini on the scoresheet for Forli, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 81–16–3
  27. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · On: V. Mastrantonio · Off: A. Murgia
  28. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · On: S. Tascone · Off: P. Giannotti
  29. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Forli · On: J. Scaccabarozzi · Off: M. Rosetti
  30. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Forli · On: G. Perretta · Off: L. Munaretti
  31. 70′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  32. 77′57′: T. Gabellini on the scoresheet for Forli, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
  33. 78′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  34. 78′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 90–10–1
  35. 80′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 2–2 · 12–79–9
  36. 80′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 12–79–9
  37. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 2–2 Forli
  38. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
  39. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win 12%)
  40. 81′Forli find the net on 80′. 2–2. 2–2 · 11–80–8
  41. 83′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–84–7
  42. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Guidonia Montecelio 1937
  43. 84′Forli level it on 83′ through G. Perini. 2–2. 2–2 · 8–86–6
  44. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Forli · On: G. Perini · Off: C. De Risio
  45. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 · On: S. Santoro · Off: E. Celeghin
  46. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 3–2 Forli
  47. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win: 43% at kick-off, 94% now
  48. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
  49. 85′We said Guidonia Montecelio 1937 at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
  50. 85′5 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 95–5–0
  51. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win: 43% at kick-off, 95% now
  52. 86′A goal for Guidonia Montecelio 1937 on 85′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 95–5–0
  53. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Guidonia Montecelio 1937
  54. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Forli
  55. 100′3–2 at the end. Our 43% on Guidonia Montecelio 1937 comes in. 3–2 · 100–0–0
  56. FTFULL TIME Guidonia Montecelio 1937 3–2 Forli
  57. FTGuidonia Montecelio 1937 3–2 Forli · Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 43%, draw 30%, Forli 27%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v ForliBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win43%
Draw30%
Forli win27%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:30

RoundGirone B · matchday 10

VenueStadio Citta dell Aria

RefereeC. Papi

Line-ups

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Forli

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Forli

5Days since last match6

Last match: 12 Oct · Serie C - Girone B

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie C - Girone B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Guidonia Montecelio 19379+313
11Forli9+111

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

Formation not confirmed

25 G. Drago

33 D. Borghini

2 S. Esempio

26 R. Baroni

11 O. Viteritti

20 P. Giannotti

4 E. Celeghin

23 A. Murgia

21 M. Tonetto

9 E. Vertainen

30 F. Ferrari

Coach · Ciro Ginestra

Substitutes

96 · G. Stellato

50 · T. Cefalo

77 · D. Zappella

3 · A. Malomo

38 · P. Frascatore

17 · S. Tascone

8 · A. Errico

7 · D. Sannipoli

18 · C. D'Urso

14 · S. Santoro

5 · V. Mastrantonio

10 · A. Spavone

Forli

Formation not confirmed

12 D. Theiner

35 S. Diop

15 F. Valentini

95 L. Munaretti

11 N. Farinelli

10 D. Macri

8 M. Rosetti

6 C. De Risio

21 G. Mattioli

9 V. Coveri

7 E. Petrelli

Coach · Nicola Campedelli

Substitutes

34 · G. Veliaj

22 · L. Martelli

26 · L. Palomba

2 · N. Mandrelli

36 · M. Onofri

33 · D. Rossi

17 · A. Spinelli

4 · F. Valentini

23 · J. Scaccabarozzi

5 · R. Gaiola

30 · G. Perretta

77 · P. Zerbo

19 · T. Gabellini

99 · N. Tordiglione

18 · G. Perini

Our number · guidonia montecelio 1937 winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Guidonia Montecelio 1937 a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Forli1.32 – 0.99
Form · last six in Serie C - Girone B this season · since 12 SeptW1 D4 L1 · W1 D4 L1
Table places · points 13 v 117 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win43%––
Draw30%––
Forli win27%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 or draw73%––
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 clean sheet38%––
Forli clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%
0123450 11.4 8.7 4.9 1 11.9 13.9 6.3 2.1 2 8.6 8.3 4.1 3 3.8 3.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Guidonia Montecelio 1937 down, Forli across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsGUI 2–2 FOR · FOR 1–0 GUI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie C - Girone B this season · since 12 Sept

GUIDONIA MONTECELIO 1937

DDDLWD1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1

FORLI

WDDDLD2–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Spezia9+1325
2Ravenna9+1120
3Grosseto10+819
4Livorno10+116
5Torres9+115
6Reggiana8+514
7Guidonia Montecelio 19379+313
8Perugia9−513
9Campobasso FC9−112
10Pescara9−112
11Forli9+111
12Vado9011
13Latina9−110
14Ostia Mare9−19
15Atalanta II8−59
16Pianese9−47
17Pineto8−57
18Gubbio9−87
19Sambenedettese9−36
20Vis Pesaro8−94

The competition's standings before kick-off.