Union Brescia v Cittadella

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Union Brescia win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Union Brescia 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Union Brescia v Cittadella
4. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Cittadella
5. 24′We said Union Brescia at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–18–7
6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Union Brescia 1–0 Cittadella
7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Union Brescia win: 43% at kick-off, 75% now
8. 25′Union Brescia score on 25′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 75–18–7
9. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Cittadella
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 75–18–6
11. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Union Brescia 1–1 Cittadella
12. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Union Brescia win: 43% at kick-off, 34% now
13. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Union Brescia win 77%)
14. 43′Cittadella find the net on 42′. 1–1. 1–1 · 34–44–23
15. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Union Brescia win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
16. 45′SECOND HALF Union Brescia 1–1 Cittadella
17. 47′HALF-TIME Union Brescia 1–1 Cittadella
18. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Cittadella · On: F. Toffanin · Off: A. Redolfi
19. 50′We said Union Brescia at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–48–21
20. 54′We said Union Brescia at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–50–20
21. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Cittadella
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Cittadella · On: E. Ignatov · Off: G. Frisenna
23. 64′We said Union Brescia at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
24. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Union Brescia win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
25. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Union Brescia · On: V. De Maria · Off: B. Boci
26. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Union Brescia · On: D. Di Molfetta · Off: A. Rizzo Pinna
27. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Union Brescia · On: M. R. Frigerio · Off: A. Mallamo
28. 69′We said Union Brescia at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
29. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Union Brescia 2–1 Cittadella
30. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Union Brescia win: 43% at kick-off, 85% now
31. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Union Brescia win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 63%)
32. 70′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 86–13–1
33. 70′A goal for Union Brescia on 70′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 86–13–1
34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Cittadella · On: D. Mensah · Off: M. Gobbato
35. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Union Brescia · On: S. Coulibaly · Off: J. Pellegrini
36. 77′We said Union Brescia at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
37. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Union Brescia
38. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Union Brescia win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
39. 84′We said Union Brescia at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
40. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Union Brescia · On: M. Marras · Off: A. Mercati
41. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Cittadella · On: E. Anastasia · Off: F. Amatucci
42. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Cittadella · On: M. Fabbro · Off: J. Ekuban
43. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Union Brescia
44. 96′2–1 at the end. Our 43% on Union Brescia comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
45. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Cittadella
46. FTFULL TIME Union Brescia 2–1 Cittadella
47. FTUnion Brescia 2–1 Cittadella · Union Brescia win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.