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Treviso v Dolomiti Bellunesi
Treviso
Dolomiti BellunesiSerie C - Girone A · SAT 24 OCT · Stadio Omobono Tenni
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Treviso win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Treviso was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–28–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Treviso v Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 31′We published Treviso at 50%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–16–5
- 31′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 79–16–5
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Treviso 1–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Treviso win: 50% at kick-off, 79% now
- 32′Treviso find the net on 32′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–16–5
- 37′We published Treviso at 50%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Treviso win: 50% at kick-off, 80% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Treviso 1–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 46′HALF-TIME Treviso 1–0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 33' A. Bonatti · Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Treviso
- 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Treviso
- 63′We published Treviso at 50%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Dolomiti Bellunesi · On: M. Kowalski · Off: R. Ba
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' N. Lewis · Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 67′We said Treviso at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–60–14
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Treviso 1–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Treviso win: 50% at kick-off, 26% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Treviso win 86%)
- 68′A goal for Dolomiti Bellunesi on 68′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 25–61–14
- 69′We said Treviso at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Treviso · On: F. Romeo · Off: A. Brigati
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Treviso win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 75′We said Treviso at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–11
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Dolomiti Bellunesi · On: L. Clemenza · Off: Z. Beltaief
- 80′We said Treviso at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–8
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Treviso · On: T. Brevi · Off: R. Gucher
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Treviso win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Treviso · On: M. Ceccacci · Off: A. Maestrelli
- 84′We said Treviso at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
- 87′We published Treviso at 50%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
- 87′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 96–4–0
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Treviso 2–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Treviso win: 50% at kick-off, 96% now
- 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Treviso win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 88%)
- 89′87′: F. Romeo on the scoresheet for Treviso, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 97–3–0
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Dolomiti Bellunesi · On: F. Estrella Galeazzi · Off: E. Toci
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Treviso · On: C. Mellino · Off: F. Ciuferri
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' Treviso · On: D. Ndulue · Off: C. Tommasini
- 94′Full time, 2–1. We called Treviso at 50% — that one lands. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Treviso 2–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
- FTTreviso 2–1 Dolomiti Bellunesi · Treviso win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Treviso are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Treviso 50%, draw 28%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 22%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Treviso win50%
Dolomiti Bellunesi win22%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:30
RoundGirone A · matchday 11
VenueStadio Omobono Tenni
RefereeG. Totaro
Match timeline
All events
TrevisoMIN
Dolomiti BellunesiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Treviso
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Last match: 17 Oct · Serie C - Girone A
Last match: 19 Oct · Serie C - Girone A
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Treviso a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 49%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Treviso win | 50% | 59% | −9 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | +3 |
| Dolomiti Bellunesi win | 22% | 16% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 45% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 44% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 69% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 25% | −5 |
| Treviso or draw | 78% | 84% | −6 |
| Treviso clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| Dolomiti Bellunesi clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie C - Girone A this season · since 17 Sept
TREVISO
DOLOMITI BELLUNESI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 10 | +13 | 27 |
| 2 | Trento | 10 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Union Brescia | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 4 | Ospitaletto | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 5 | Arzignano Valchiampo | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Alcione | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Pergolettese | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Lecco | 10 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Albinoleffe | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 | Desenzano Calvina | 10 | −2 | 13 |
| 12 | Lumezzane | 10 | −3 | 12 |
| 13 | Novara | 10 | −4 | 10 |
| 14 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 10 | −5 | 10 |
| 15 | Juventus U23 | 10 | −6 | 10 |
| 16 | Athletic Carpi | 10 | −6 | 9 |
| 17 | PRO Vercelli | 10 | −10 | 9 |
| 18 | Giana Erminio | 10 | −3 | 8 |
| 19 | Folgore Caratese | 10 | −6 | 6 |
| 20 | Renate | 10 | −7 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Cittadella
Trento
Union Brescia
Ospitaletto
Arzignano Valchiampo
Alcione
Pergolettese
Lecco
Albinoleffe
Desenzano Calvina
Lumezzane
Novara
Juventus U23
Athletic Carpi
PRO Vercelli
Giana Erminio
Folgore Caratese
Renate