Ospitaletto v Pergolettese

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ospitaletto win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Ospitaletto 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–30–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ospitaletto v Pergolettese
4. 25′A goal for Ospitaletto on 25′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–17–6
5. 25′We said Ospitaletto at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–6
6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Ospitaletto 1–0 Pergolettese
7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 78–17–6
9. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Ospitaletto 1–1 Pergolettese
10. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 38% now
11. 40′Pergolettese find the net on 40′. 1–0 · 79–17–5
12. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
13. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Ospitaletto win 37%)
14. 41′GOAL DISALLOWED · 41' Pergolettese
15. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 79% now
16. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Ospitaletto win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
17. 44′We said Ospitaletto at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
18. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Ospitaletto 2–0 Pergolettese
19. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 96% now
20. 46′Ospitaletto score on 45′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–1
21. 46′SECOND HALF Ospitaletto 2–0 Pergolettese
22. 47′HALF-TIME Ospitaletto 2–0 Pergolettese
23. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
24. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Ospitaletto
25. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Pergolettese · On: M. Rossetti · Off: C. Evangelista
26. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Pergolettese · On: A. Orlandi · Off: A. Pala
27. 72′We said Ospitaletto at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
28. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Ospitaletto · On: D. Stefanoni · Off: C. Messaggi
29. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Ospitaletto 2–1 Pergolettese
30. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 88% now
31. 73′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 88–11–1
32. 74′Pergolettese find the net on 73′. 2–1. 2–1 · 89–11–1
33. 76′We said Ospitaletto at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
34. 80′We said Ospitaletto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 2–2 · 12–80–8
35. 80′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 12–80–8
36. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Ospitaletto 2–2 Pergolettese
37. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, 12% now
38. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Ospitaletto win 12%)
39. 81′A goal for Pergolettese on 80′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 11–81–7
40. 83′We said Ospitaletto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
41. 84′We said Ospitaletto at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 2–3 · 0–8–92
42. 84′5 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–8–92
43. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Ospitaletto 2–3 Pergolettese
44. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Ospitaletto win: 47% at kick-off, under 1% now
45. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Pergolettese win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 8%)
46. 85′Pergolettese score on 84′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–7–93
47. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Pergolettese
48. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Ospitaletto · On: S. Cantamessa · Off: E. Tigani
49. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Ospitaletto · On: M. Valente · Off: M. Guarneri
50. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Ospitaletto · On: M. Possenti · Off: P. Parmiggiani
51. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Pergolettese · On: A. Pavanello · Off: N. Corti
52. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Pergolettese · On: J. Antolini · Off: A. Berretta
53. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Pergolettese · On: E. Bassi · Off: D. Ferrandino
54. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+6' Ospitaletto
55. 97′2–3 at the end. Our 47% on Ospitaletto misses, and the record keeps it. 2–3 · 0–0–100
56. FTFULL TIME Ospitaletto 2–3 Pergolettese
57. FTOspitaletto 2–3 Pergolettese · Ospitaletto win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.