Vicenza Virtus v Modena
Vicenza VirtusModenaSerie B · TUE 27 OCT · Stadio Romeo Menti
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Modena just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Vicenza Virtus 34%, draw 29%, Modena 37%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Vicenza Virtus win34%Modena win37%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueStadio Romeo Menti
Match timeline
All events
Vicenza VirtusMINModenaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Last match: 23 Oct · the Italian Serie B
Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Modena | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | −4 | 9 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Modena a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vicenza Virtus win | 34% | 32% | +2 |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | +2 |
| Modena win | 37% | 41% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – | – |
| Vicenza Virtus or draw | 63% | 59% | +4 |
| Vicenza Virtus clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Modena clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie B this season · since 6 Sept
VICENZA VIRTUS
MODENA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Avellino | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Arezzo | 8 | −9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Vicenza Virtus | 8 | −4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | −6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | −8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | −11 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.