Mantova v Cremonese
MantovaCremoneseSerie B · TUE 27 OCT · Stadio Danilo Martelli
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Mantova just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Mantova 36%, draw 29%, Cremonese 36%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Mantova win36%Cremonese win36%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueStadio Danilo Martelli
Match timeline
All events
MantovaMINCremoneseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Mantova
Cremonese
Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie B
Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | −5 | 6 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Mantova a 36% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 35%, 36% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 38% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova win | 36% | 38% | −2 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Cremonese win | 36% | 34% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 54% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – | – |
| Mantova or draw | 64% | 66% | −2 |
| Mantova clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Cremonese clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie B this season · since 6 Sept
MANTOVA
CREMONESE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Avellino | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Arezzo | 8 | −9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | −4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | −6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | −8 | 5 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 8 | −11 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.