Juve Stabia v Sudtirol

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Juve Stabia win at 41%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Juve Stabia 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–31–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Juve Stabia v Sudtirol
4. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Aljosa Vasic · Sudtirol
5. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Marco Bellich · Juve Stabia
6. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Riccardo Stivanello · Sudtirol
7. 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Juve Stabia win 35%)
8. 39′Juve Stabia have had 7 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 34–42–24
9. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Giusepe Sibilli · Juve Stabia
10. 42′We said Juve Stabia at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–18–6
11. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Juve Stabia 1–0 Sudtirol
12. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Juve Stabia win: 41% at kick-off, 76% now
13. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Juve Stabia win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 18%)
14. 43′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–5
15. 44′Juve Stabia ahead on 43′ through Giusepe Sibilli. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–18–5
16. 47′HALF-TIME Juve Stabia 1–0 Sudtirol
17. 47′SECOND HALF Juve Stabia 1–0 Sudtirol
18. 57′We said Juve Stabia at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
19. 59′🟥 RED CARD · 59' Sudtirol
20. 60′Sudtirol are down to ten from 59′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 81–16–3
21. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Juve Stabia win: 41% at kick-off, 81% now
22. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sudtirol · On: Kenny Meddy Mixtur · Off: Alvin Okoro Corrected
23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Sudtirol · On: Rares Burnete · Off: Aljosa Vasic Corrected
24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Juve Stabia · On: Romeo Sandrucci · Off: Fabio Maistro Corrected
25. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Juve Stabia · On: Thomas Battistella · Off: Justin Kumi Corrected
26. 70′We said Juve Stabia at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
27. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Juve Stabia · On: Nermin Karić · Off: Federico Artioli Corrected
28. 73′We said Juve Stabia at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
29. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Juve Stabia 2–0 Sudtirol
30. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Juve Stabia win: 41% at kick-off, 99% now
31. 74′Antonio Di Nardo scores for Juve Stabia on 74′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
32. 75′Antonio Di Nardo scores for Juve Stabia on 73′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
33. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Sudtirol · On: Dhirar Brik · Off: Fabio Rispoli Corrected
34. 80′We said Juve Stabia at 41% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
35. 83′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 3–0 · 100–0–0
36. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Juve Stabia 3–0 Sudtirol
37. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Juve Stabia · On: Leonardo Candellone · Off: Antonio Di Nardo Corrected
38. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Juve Stabia · On: Sana Fernandes · Off: Giusepe Sibilli Corrected
39. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sudtirol · On: Mattia Pellini · Off: Riccardo Stivanello Corrected
40. 85′84′: Romeo Sandrucci on the scoresheet for Juve Stabia, making it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
41. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Nermin Karić · Juve Stabia
42. FTFULL TIME Juve Stabia 3–0 Sudtirol
43. FTJuve Stabia 3–0 Sudtirol · Juve Stabia win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.