Empoli v Palermo

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Palermo win at 39%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Palermo 39% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 33–27–40
3. 2′KICK-OFF Empoli v Palermo
4. 20′Palermo have had 7.0 attempts to 2.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 32–31–38
5. 22′8.0 shots for Palermo, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 32–31–37
6. 26′12.0 shots for Palermo, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 31–32–37
7. 35′16.0 shots for Palermo, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 30–35–35
8. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Palermo win 33%)
9. 43′20.0 shots for Palermo, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 28–39–33
10. 45′24.0 shots for Palermo, 3.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 28–40–32
11. 45′HALF-TIME Empoli 0–0 Palermo
12. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Empoli · On: Lapo Deli · Off: Filippo Bandinelli Corrected
13. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Empoli · On: Karim Zedadka · Off: Simone Romagnoli Corrected
14. 45′SECOND HALF Empoli 0–0 Palermo
15. 49′PENALTY · 47' Empoli
16. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Empoli 1–0 Palermo
17. 52′50′ and it is 1–0: Edoardo Saporiti on the scoresheet for Empoli. 1–0 · 70–22–8
18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Empoli 1–0 Palermo · Edoardo Saporiti
19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Palermo win: 39% at kick-off, 8% now
20. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Empoli win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 22%)
21. 58′Palermo ahead on 57′ through Joel Pohjanpalo. 1–1. 1–1 · 24–49–27
22. 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Empoli 1–1 Palermo · Joel Pohjanpalo (assist Mattia Bani)
23. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Jacopo Seghetti · Empoli
24. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Palermo win: 39% at kick-off, 27% now
25. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Empoli win 24%)
26. 63′We said Palermo at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 22–53–25
27. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Empoli 1–2 Palermo · Joel Pohjanpalo
28. 67′69′ and it is 1–2: Dennis Johnsen on the scoresheet for Palermo. 1–2 · 3–17–80
29. 67′⚽ GOAL · 65' Empoli 1–2 Palermo · Antonio Palumbo (assist Dennis Johnsen)
30. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Palermo win: 39% at kick-off, 80% now
31. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Palermo win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 17%)
32. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Empoli 1–3 Palermo · Dennis Johnsen (assist Antonio Palumbo)
33. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Empoli · On: Duccio Degli Innocenti · Off: Edoardo Biondini Corrected
34. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Empoli · On: Steven Shpendi · Off: Niccolo Corrado Corrected
35. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Filippo·Ranocchia · Palermo
36. 77′PENALTY MISSED · 76' Steven Shpendi · Empoli
37. 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Empoli 2–3 Palermo · Bogdan Popov
38. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Palermo · On: Luca Mazzitelli · Off: Antonio Palumbo Corrected
39. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Palermo · On: Nahuel Estévez · Off: Filippo·Ranocchia Corrected
40. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Palermo · On: Alessandro Gabrielloni · Off: Joel Pohjanpalo Corrected
41. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Palermo · On: Alessandro Gabrielloni · Off: Joel Pohjanpalo Corrected
42. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Palermo · On: Patryk Peda · Off: Dennis Johnsen Corrected
43. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Empoli 2–4 Palermo · Tommaso Cassandro (assist Alessandro Gabrielloni)
44. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Empoli · On: Matteo Egan · Off: Joseph Ceesay Corrected
45. FTFULL TIME Empoli 2–4 Palermo
46. FTEmpoli 2–4 Palermo · Palermo win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.