Cremonese v Juve Stabia

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Cremonese win at 47%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Cremonese was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–29–24
3. 2′KICK-OFF Cremonese v Juve Stabia
4. 24′We said Cremonese at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
5. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Cremonese 0–1 Juve Stabia
6. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Cremonese win: 47% at kick-off, 18% now
7. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Juve Stabia win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Cremonese win 43%)
8. 25′Juve Stabia ahead on 24′ through Marco Bellich. 0–1. 0–1 · 17–25–57
9. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Cremonese win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 16–25–59
11. 35′We said Cremonese at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–60
12. 45′PENALTY CANCELLED · 40' Cremonese
13. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Cremonese 1–1 Juve Stabia
14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Cremonese win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
15. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Juve Stabia win 63%)
16. 45′SECOND HALF Cremonese 0–1 Juve Stabia
17. 46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 46' Cremonese
18. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Cremonese win: 47% at kick-off, 11% now
19. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Juve Stabia win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Draw 43%)
20. 48′HALF-TIME Cremonese 0–1 Juve Stabia
21. 51′We said Cremonese at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
22. 53′9 shots for Cremonese, 4 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 9–24–67
23. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Cremonese win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
24. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Cremonese · On: Salvatore Elia · Off: Fellipe Jack
25. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Cremonese · On: Manuel De Luca · Off: Marco Nasti
26. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Juve Stabia · On: Nermin Karić · Off: Justin Kumi
27. 65′Cremonese have had 12 attempts to 7 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 5–22–74
28. 67′We said Cremonese at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
29. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Juve Stabia · On: Leonardo Candellone · Off: Fabio Maistro
30. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Juve Stabia · On: Romeo Sandrucci · Off: Giusepe Sibilli
31. 78′17 shots for Cremonese, 11 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 1–14–84
32. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Cremonese · On: Alessandro Vogliacco · Off: Alberto Grassi
33. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Cremonese · On: Federico Bonazzoli · Off: Jari Vandeputte
34. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Cremonese · On: Milan Djuric · Off: Tommaso Barbieri
35. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Juve Stabia · On: Sana Fernandes · Off: Antonio Di Nardo
36. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Juve Stabia · On: Matteo Baldi · Off: Federico Artioli
37. 93′Cremonese have had 20 attempts to 13 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 0–2–98
38. 94′Full time, 0–1. We called Cremonese at 47% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–1 · 0–0–100
39. FTFULL TIME Cremonese 0–1 Juve Stabia
40. FTCremonese 0–1 Juve Stabia · Cremonese win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.