Catanzaro v Mantova

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Catanzaro win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Catanzaro was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–23–25
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Catanzaro was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
4. 30′We said Catanzaro at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–25–55
5. 31′Bodin Tomašević scores for Mantova on 30′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–25–55
6. 31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Catanzaro 0–1 Mantova · Bodin Tomašević
7. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Catanzaro win: 50% at kick-off, 19% now
8. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Mantova win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Catanzaro win 19%)
9. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Catanzaro win: 50% at kick-off, 46% now
10. 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Catanzaro win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Mantova win 25%)
11. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Catanzaro 0–2 Mantova · Bodin Tomašević
12. 33′⚽ GOAL · 34' Catanzaro 0–2 Mantova · Francesco Ruocco
13. 36′34′ and it is 0–2: Francesco Ruocco on the scoresheet for Mantova. 0–2 · 5–12–82
14. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Catanzaro win: 50% at kick-off, 5% now
15. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Catanzaro win: 50% at kick-off, 19% now
16. 37′34′ and it is 0–2: Francesco Ruocco on the scoresheet for Mantova. 0–2 · 5–12–83
17. 37′We said Catanzaro at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–83
18. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Catanzaro win: 50% at kick-off, 5% now
19. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Catanzaro win: 50% at kick-off, 19% now
20. 39′We said Catanzaro at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–83
21. 42′We said Catanzaro at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–84
22. 45′SECOND HALF Catanzaro 0–2 Mantova
23. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Catanzaro · On: Franky Tchaouna · Off: Nicola Mosti
24. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Catanzaro · On: Federico Di Francesco · Off: Ruggero Frosinini
25. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Catanzaro win: 50% at kick-off, 5% now
26. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Mantova win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Catanzaro win 5%)
27. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Catanzaro 0–3 Mantova · Francesco Ruocco
28. 54′⚽ GOAL · 55' Catanzaro 0–3 Mantova · Davide Bragantini
29. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Catanzaro · On: Marco D'Alessandro · Off: Mehdi Dorval
30. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Catanzaro · On: Emanuele Pecorino · Off: Pietro Lemmello
31. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Mantova · On: Ismael Cajazzo · Off: Davide Bragantini
32. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Mantova · On: Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo · Off: Rares Ilie
33. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Mantova · On: Ettore Gliozzi · Off: Francesco Ruocco
34. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Mantova · On: Tommaso Del Lungo · Off: Bodin Tomašević
35. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Catanzaro · On: G. Arditi · Off: Gabriele Alesi
36. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Mantova · On: Sambaly Keita · Off: Rachid Kouda
37. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Mantova · On: Sambaly Keita · Off: Rachid Kouda
38. 86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' Marco Ruggero · Catanzaro
39. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova · Davide Bragantini
40. 91′⚽ GOAL · 91' Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova · Matias Antonini Lui
41. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Fahem Benaissa Yahia · Mantova
42. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 93' Federico Di Francesco · Catanzaro
43. FTFULL TIME Catanzaro 1–3 Mantova
44. FTCatanzaro 1–3 Mantova · Catanzaro win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.