Carrarese v Modena

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Carrarese win at 35%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Carrarese 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–31–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Carrarese v Modena
4. 2′A goal for Carrarese on 1′. 0–0 · 35–31–34
5. 2′We said Carrarese at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–19–15
6. 2′⚽ GOAL · 1' Carrarese 1–0 Modena
7. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Carrarese win: 35% at kick-off, 66% now
8. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Fabio Andrea · Carrarese
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 69–21–10
10. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Jonas Rouhi · Carrarese
11. 34′We said Carrarese at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
12. 45′SECOND HALF Carrarese 1–0 Modena
13. 46′HALF-TIME Carrarese 1–0 Modena
14. 51′Fabio abiuso scores for Carrarese on 1′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 74–20–6
15. 51′We said Carrarese at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 74%. 1–0 · 74–20–6
16. 52′We said Carrarese at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
17. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Fabio abiuso · Carrarese
18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Carrarese 2–0 Modena
19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Carrarese win: 35% at kick-off, 94% now
20. 54′We said Carrarese at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
21. 54′52′: Tommaso Rubino on the scoresheet for Carrarese, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 95–5–1
22. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Carrarese win: 35% at kick-off, 95% now
23. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Modena · On: Andrea Belotti · Off: Gastón Brugman
24. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Modena · On: Giacomo Olzer · Off: Francesco Zampano
25. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Modena · On: Francesco Folino · Off: Steven Nador
26. 60′10 shots for Modena, 5 the other way, and they still trail 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
27. 61′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 2–0 · 96–3–0
28. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Carrarese · On: Jacopo Martini · Off: Tommaso Rubino
29. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Carrarese · On: G. Marconi · Off: Fabio abiuso
30. 76′We said Carrarese at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–13–1
31. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Carrarese 2–1 Modena
32. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Carrarese win: 35% at kick-off, 86% now
33. 77′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 87–12–1
34. 77′Modena pull one back on 76′ through Andrea Belotti. 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Carrarese · On: T. Guercio · Off: Niccolò Belloni
36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Carrarese · On: Luka Topalovic · Off: Gabriele parlanti
37. 84′Modena have had 13 attempts to 8 and it is still 2–1. 2–1 · 93–7–0
38. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Modena · On: Daniele Montevago · Off: Paulo Azzi
39. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Carrarese win: 35% at kick-off, 95% now
40. 89′Carrarese are down to ten from 88′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 96–4–0
41. 89′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Guido Pagliuca · Carrarese
42. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Giuseppe Caso · Modena
43. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Simone Santoro · Modena
44. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' G. Marconi · Carrarese
45. 96′2–1 at the end. Our 35% on Carrarese comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
46. FTFULL TIME Carrarese 2–1 Modena
47. FTCarrarese 2–1 Modena · Carrarese win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.