Benevento v Vicenza Virtus

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Benevento win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Benevento was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–27–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Benevento v Vicenza Virtus
4. 22′We published Benevento at 52%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–0 · 79–15–7
5. 22′Benevento find the net on 22′. 0–0 · 48–31–21 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Benevento 1–0 Vicenza Virtus
7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Benevento win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
8. 27′We published Benevento at 52%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
9. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Benevento 2–0 Vicenza Virtus
10. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Benevento win: 52% at kick-off, 94% now
11. 28′Christian Kouan scores for Benevento on 27′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
12. 35′We published Benevento at 52%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
13. 45′HALF-TIME Benevento 2–0 Vicenza Virtus
14. 45′SECOND HALF Benevento 2–0 Vicenza Virtus
15. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Vicenza Virtus · On: Mattia Valoti · Off: Loris Zonta
16. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Mattia Maita · Benevento
17. 52′Christian Kouan scores for Benevento on 27′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–0
18. 53′We published Benevento at 52%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–0
19. 55′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 2–0 · 97–3–0
20. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Vicenza Virtus · On: Claudio Morra · Off: Silvio Merkaj
21. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Nicolò Brighenti · Vicenza Virtus
22. 67′We published Benevento at 52%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Benevento · On: Luigi Cherubini · Off: Davide Lamesta
24. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Vicenza Virtus · On: Nicola Rauti · Off: Gabriele Moncini
25. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Vicenza Virtus · On: L. Caferri · Off: Filippo Costa
26. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Benevento 2–1 Vicenza Virtus
27. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Benevento win: 52% at kick-off, 85% now
28. 68′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 85–13–2
29. 69′68′: Tommaso Corazza on the scoresheet for Vicenza Virtus, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 86–13–2
30. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Andrea Papetti · Vicenza Virtus
31. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Alessandro Bellemo · Vicenza Virtus
32. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Benevento · On: Christian Dalle Mura · Off: David Okereke
33. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Giulio Pellizzari · Vicenza Virtus
34. 78′We published Benevento at 52%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
35. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Benevento win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
36. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Vicenza Virtus · On: Filippo Alessio · Off: Giulio Pellizzari
37. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Benevento · On: Raffaele Romano · Off: Pietro Beruatto
38. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Benevento · On: Pier Luigi·Simonetti · Off: Christian Kouan
39. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' L. Caferri · Vicenza Virtus
40. 86′We said Benevento at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–87–5
41. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Benevento 2–2 Vicenza Virtus
42. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Benevento win: 52% at kick-off, 8% now
43. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Benevento win 8%)
44. 87′Benevento have had 16 attempts to 10 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 8–88–4
45. 87′4 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 8–88–4
46. 88′Vicenza Virtus level it on 87′ through L. Caferri. 2–2. 2–2 · 7–89–4
47. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Gianmarco Vannucchi · Benevento
48. 91′We said Benevento at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
49. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Benevento win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
50. 95′Full time, 2–2. We called Benevento at 52% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
51. FTFULL TIME Benevento 2–2 Vicenza Virtus
52. FTBenevento 2–2 Vicenza Virtus · Benevento win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.