Benevento v Catanzaro
BeneventoCatanzaroSerie B · TUE 27 OCT · Stadio Ciro Vigorito
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Benevento are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Benevento 47%, draw 27%, Catanzaro 27%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Benevento win47%Catanzaro win27%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueStadio Ciro Vigorito
Match timeline
All events
BeneventoMINCatanzaroEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Benevento
Catanzaro
Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie B
Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie B
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | −11 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Benevento a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | +1 |
| Catanzaro win | 27% | 26% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | – | – |
| Benevento or draw | 73% | 74% | −1 |
| Benevento clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Catanzaro clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie B this season · since 5 Sept
BENEVENTO
CATANZARO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 7 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  Mantova | 8 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Modena | 8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  Ascoli | 8 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Pisa | 7 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sudtirol | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 |  Avellino | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Padova | 8 | −3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Arezzo | 8 | −9 | 10 |
| 11 |  Virtus Entella | 8 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Vicenza Virtus | 8 | −4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Hellas Verona | 7 | +2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Juve Stabia | 8 | +1 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cesena | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Empoli | 8 | −6 | 7 |
| 17 |  Carrarese | 7 | −1 | 7 |
| 18 |  Cremonese | 8 | −5 | 6 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 8 | −8 | 5 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | −11 | 4 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.