Venezia v Inter
VeneziaInterSerie A · WED 28 OCT · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Inter are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Venezia 11%, draw 16%, Inter 73%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Venezia win11%Inter win73%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 9
VenueStadio Pierluigi Penzo
Match timeline
All events
VeneziaMINInterEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Venezia
Inter
Last match: 17 Oct · the Italian Serie A
Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Champions League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | −10 | 3 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Inter a 73% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 0.8–2.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 72% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia win | 11% | 12% | −1 |
| Draw | 16% | 16% | 0 |
| Inter win | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 72% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 61% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 87% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 53% | −10 |
| Venezia or draw | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| Venezia clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
| Inter clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
5 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie A this season · since 28 Aug
VENEZIA
INTER
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 8 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cagliari | 8 | −3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Juventus | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | −3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | −7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | −10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | −10 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.