Torino v Udinese prediction · Serie A

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 22:30

Torino 2–1 Udinese TORINO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Torino win~~39%

~~The market said~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.563

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.584

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Torino win at 39%.
0′Much as we predicted: Torino was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–27–34
1′Much as we predicted: Torino was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–27–33
1′KICK-OFF Torino v Udinese
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Torino 1–0 Udinese
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Torino 1–0 Udinese
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Torino 1–1 Udinese · Daniel Bragança
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Torino 1–1 Udinese · Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
45′SECOND HALF Torino 1–1 Udinese
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Torino · On: Ardian Ismajli · Off: Ricardo Rodríguez
47′HALF-TIME Torino 1–1 Udinese
53′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Torino · On: Nikola Vlašić · Off: Gaetano Oristanio
53′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Torino · On: Emirhan İlkhan · Off: Daniel Bragança
60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Udinese · On: Nicolo Bertola · Off: James Abankwah
64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Torino · On: Sandro Kulenović · Off: Che Adams
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Torino 2–1 Udinese · Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
66′⚽ GOAL · 67' Torino 2–1 Udinese · Sandro Kulenović
72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Udinese · On: Lazar Jovanovic · Off: Oier Zarraga
72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Udinese · On: Keinan Davis · Off: Unai Gómez
72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Udinese · On: David Alaba · Off: Mergim Vojvoda
76′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Torino · On: Gvidas Gineitis · Off: Emirhan İlkhan
81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Udinese · On: Juan Arizala · Off: Hassane Kamara
89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Nicolo Bertola · Udinese
FTFULL TIME Torino 2–1 Udinese
FTTorino 2–1 Udinese · Torino win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 19:31 · locked at kick-off

Torino win39%

Draw28%

Udinese win33%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:45

VenueStadio Olimpico Grande Torino

RefereeValerio Crezzini

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1

Udinese

3-4-2-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Torino

Udinese

23Days since last match23

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Udinese	5	−3	4
15	Torino	5	−3	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

In the news

from the pressAll ›

Serie A official line-ups and live updates: Torino vs. UdineseFootball Italia · 36 min ago · Torino, Udinese Zaniolo opens up about ‘turbulent summer’ and Alaba’s Udinese moveFootball Italia · 3 hours ago · Udinese

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1

20 Lucas Perri

15 P. Comuzzo

23 S. Coco

13 R. Rodriguez

45 R. Belghali

8 R. Mandragora

21 D. Braganca

77 A. Cacciamani

11 G. Oristanio

19 C. Adams

18 G. Simeone

Coach · Ignazio Abate

Substitutes

26 · D. Mascardi

76 · L. Siviero

3 · C. Biraghi

44 · A. Ismajli

2 · N. Patterson

5 · E. Comert

10 · N. Vlasic

28 · K. Fitz-Jim

6 · E. Ilkhan

66 · G. Gineitis

22 · C. Casadei

17 · S. Kulenovic

7 · Z. Aboukhlal

9 · P. Pellegri

91 · D. Zapata

Udinese

3-4-2-1

40 M. Okoye

14 J. Abankwah

28 O. Solet

77 E. Ebosse

23 M. Vojvoda

8 J. Karlstrom

6 O. Zarraga

11 H. Kamara

32 J. Ekkelenkamp

30 G. Chakvetadze

46 U. Gomez

Coach · Kosta Runjaic

Substitutes

93 · D. Padelli

41 · B. Mrozek

5 · D. Alaba

27 · C. Kabasele

13 · N. Bertola

16 · M. Palma

4 · S. Lovric

38 · L. Miller

91 · L. Jovanovic

20 · J. Arizala

9 · K. Davis

Our number · torino winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 19:31 · locked at kick-off

39% The market38%

Us39%

~~Market~~38%

We make Torino a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · torino win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 41% to 38% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Torino win	39%	38%	+1
Draw	28%	32%	−4
Udinese win	33%	31%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	44%	43%	+2
Both teams to score	50%	50%	0
Over 1.5 goals	70%	68%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	23%	24%	−1
Torino or draw	67%	69%	−3
Torino clean sheet	31%	–	–
Udinese clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 9.2 9.7 5.9 2.3 1 10.7 13.2 7.4 2.9 2 7.1 8.2 4.8 3 3.1 3.5 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Torino down, Udinese across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,959 Serie A matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Serie A matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.2% of games this season, across 58 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.40 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Torino at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Udinese away: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Torino, 1.17 for Udinese. Most likely score 1–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 12 Oct 19:30. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~UDI 2–0 TOR · TOR 1–2 UDI · TOR 2–0 UDI · UDI 2–2 TOR

Form · last six in Serie A

TORINO

DLLWLD2–2 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–1

UDINESE

LDWLLL0–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 3–5 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Inter	6	+10	16
2	Lazio	6	+7	16
3	AS Roma	6	+11	14
4	Cagliari	6	+3	13
5	AC Milan	6	+6	12
6	Juventus	6	+4	11
7	Como	6	+3	11
8	Napoli	6	+4	10
9	Frosinone	6	+2	10
10	Sassuolo	6	0	8
11	Atalanta	5	−2	6
12	Lecce	6	−6	6
13	Bologna	6	−2	5
14	Udinese	5	−3	4
15	Torino	5	−3	4
16	Monza	6	−6	4
17	Genoa	6	−6	4
18	Parma	6	−6	4
19	Fiorentina	6	−7	4
20	Venezia	5	−9	0