Torino v Monza

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Torino win at 47%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Torino 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Torino v Monza
4. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Ardian Ismajli · Torino
5. 39′We said Torino at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–18–6
6. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Torino 1–0 Monza
7. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Torino win: 47% at kick-off, 76% now
8. 40′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–6
9. 41′Kian Fitz-Jim scores for Torino on 39′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–18–6
10. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Torino win: 47% at kick-off, 77% now
11. 45′SECOND HALF Torino 1–0 Monza
12. 47′HALF-TIME Torino 1–0 Monza
13. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Torino 1–1 Monza
14. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Torino win: 47% at kick-off, 36% now
15. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Torino win 77%)
16. 48′47′: Gustavo Varela on the scoresheet for Monza, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 36–41–23
17. 50′We said Torino at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–43–22
18. 51′SUBSTITUTION · 51' Torino · On: Gvidas Gineitis · Off: Rolando Mandragora
19. 52′We said Torino at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–44–22
20. 61′We said Torino at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 2–1 · 81–16–3
21. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Torino 2–1 Monza
22. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Torino win: 47% at kick-off, 81% now
23. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Torino win is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Draw 51%)
24. 62′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 81–16–3
25. 63′Torino ahead on 61′ through Rafik Belghali. 2–1. 2–1 · 81–16–3
26. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Monza · On: Eddy Kouadio · Off: Lorenzo Lucchesi
27. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Monza · On: Michael Folorunsho · Off: Foe Ondoa
28. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Torino · On: Sandro Kulenović · Off: Giovanni Simeone
29. 72′We said Torino at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
30. 72′We said Torino at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–1 · 98–1–0
31. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Torino · On: Daniel Bragança · Off: Kian Fitz-Jim
32. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Torino 3–1 Monza
33. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Torino win: 47% at kick-off, 98% now
34. 73′Nikola Vlašić scores for Torino on 72′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
35. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Torino · On: Nathan Patterson · Off: Alessio Cacciamani
36. 74′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
37. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Monza · On: Cyril Ngonge · Off: Dany Mota
38. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Monza · On: Patrick Cutrone · Off: Jay Robinson
39. 81′We said Torino at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
40. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Torino · On: Zakaria Aboukhlal · Off: Rafik Belghali
41. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Monza · On: Mathis Mout · Off: Andrea Carboni
42. 94′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 99–1–0
43. 94′90′: Nathan Patterson puts it into the Torino net, and it is 3–2. 3–2 · 100–0–0
44. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Torino 3–2 Monza
45. FTFULL TIME Torino 3–2 Monza
46. FTTorino 3–2 Monza · Torino win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.