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Model 1.2

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Torino v Como

Torino
19:45Upcoming
Como

Serie A · TUE 27 OCT · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TorinoDrawComo
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:45
Before kick-off · Match result · Como 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Como are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Torino 27%, draw 27%, Como 47%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Torino v ComoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Torino win27%
Draw27%
Como win47%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45

RoundMatchday 9

VenueStadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Torino

Como

4Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · the Italian Serie A

Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie A

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Como8+717
7Torino8+213

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · como winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
47% The market54%
Us47%
Market54%

We make Como a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Torino v Como1.05 – 1.48
Form · last six in Serie A this season · since 4 SeptW4 D1 L1 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 13 v 177 v 4
The market · Como win54% · ours 47%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 02:12
Our probability · Como win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Torino win27%21%+6
Draw27%25%+2
Como win47%54%−7
Over 2.5 goals46%54%−8
Both teams to score50%55%−5
Over 1.5 goals72%76%−4
Over 3.5 goals25%34%−9
Torino or draw53%46%+7
Torino clean sheet23%––
Como clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 8.4 11.5 8.7 4.3 1 8.1 12.5 9.0 4.5 2 4.4 6.4 4.7 2.3 3 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Torino down, Como across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsCOM 6–0 TOR · TOR 1–5 COM · COM 1–0 TOR · TOR 1–0 COM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Serie A this season · since 4 Sept

TORINO

WLDWWW2–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 3–2

COMO

WWLDWW4–1 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Lazio8+1122
2Inter7+1219
3AS Roma8+1318
4Como8+717
5AC Milan7+715
6Frosinone7+413
7Torino8+213
8Cagliari8−313
9Napoli8+311
10Juventus7+111
11Atalanta7−19
12Lecce7−39
13Bologna8−28
14Sassuolo8−48
15Monza8−37
16Udinese7−74
17Genoa7−84
18Fiorentina7−94
19Parma8−104
20Venezia7−103

The competition's standings before kick-off.