Frosinone v Lecce
FrosinoneLecceSerie A · THU 29 OCT · Stadio Benito Stirpe
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Frosinone are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Frosinone 48%, draw 26%, Lecce 25%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Frosinone win48%Lecce win25%Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 9
VenueStadio Benito Stirpe
Match timeline
All events
FrosinoneMINLecceEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Frosinone
Lecce
Last match: 16 Oct · the Italian Serie A
Last match: 18 Oct · the Italian Serie A
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | −3 | 9 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Frosinone a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone win | 48% | 50% | −2 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Lecce win | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 60% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 62% | −12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 81% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 40% | −14 |
| Frosinone or draw | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Lecce clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie A this season · since 29 Aug
FROSINONE
LECCE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 7 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 7 | +13 | 17 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cagliari | 8 | −3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Juventus | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | −3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | −7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | −10 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.