

Cagliari v Juventus
Cagliari
JuventusSerie A · SUN 11 OCT · Unipol Domus
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Juventus win at 52%.
- 2′Much as we predicted: Juventus was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 22–26–52
- 14′Much as we predicted: Juventus was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 22–29–49
- 20′Daniel Maldini scores for Cagliari on 20′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 52–27–21
- 24′We said Juventus at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–0 · 53–27–20
- 27′We said Juventus at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 54–27–19
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 55–27–18
- 42′We said Juventus at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–27–14
- 46′9.0 shots for Juventus, 3.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–0 · 60–27–13
- 56′Daniel Maldini scores for Cagliari on 20′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 66–25–9
- 58′We said Juventus at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–0 · 67–25–8
- 59′11.0 shots for Juventus, 3.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–0 · 68–25–8
- 69′We said Juventus at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 75–21–4
- 71′Juventus have had 14.0 attempts to 3.0 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 77–20–4
- 78′Juventus have had 16.0 attempts to 3.0 and it is still 1–0. 1–0 · 84–15–2
- 80′81′ and it is 1–1: Randal Kolo Muani on the scoresheet for Juventus. 1–1 · 8–78–14
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 14% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Cagliari win 8%)
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 10% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Cagliari win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Draw 26%)
- 83′We said Juventus at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–1 · 6–84–10
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 14% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Cagliari win 8%)
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 10% now
- 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Cagliari win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Draw 26%)
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Alessandro Deiola · Cagliari
- 84′81′ and it is 1–1: Randal Kolo Muani on the scoresheet for Juventus. 1–1 · 5–86–9
- 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Cagliari win 6%)
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Cagliari · On: Jacopo Fazzini · Off: Adam Obert Corrected
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Juventus · On: Teun Koopmeiners · Off: Douglas Luiz Soares Corrected
- 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Cagliari win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Draw 26%)
- 86′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–1 · 4–90–6
- 88′Juventus have had 22.0 attempts to 3.0 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 2–95–3
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 91' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 0% now
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 91' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 9% now
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 92' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 9% now
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 92' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 0% now
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 93' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 9% now
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 93' Juventus win: 52% at kick-off, 0% now
- FTFULL TIME Cagliari 1–1 Juventus
- FTCagliari 1–1 Juventus · Juventus win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Cagliari win22%
Juventus win52%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 19:45
VenueUnipol Domus
RefereeMatteo Marcenaro
Match timeline
All events
CagliariMIN
JuventusEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Cagliari
4-3-2-1
Juventus
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Cagliari
Juventus
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
Line-ups
Cagliari
4-3-2-1
1 E. Caprile
2 J. Pedro
26 Y. Mina
15 J. Rodriguez
33 A. Obert
8 M. Adopo
6 H. Winks
4 A. Romano
79 Y. Massolin
70 D. Maldini
31 P. Mendy
Coach · Fabio Pisacane
Substitutes
23 · B. Radunovic
12 · A. Sherri
28 · Y. Sugawara
24 · G. Aurelio
10 · J. Fazzini
32 · I. Sulev
27 · J. Liteta
14 · A. Deiola
21 · R. Gagliardini
22 · R. Kofler
39 · A. Fadera
35 · A. Sugamele
18 · M. Nzola
9 · Kevin
20 · R. Ciervo
Juventus
4-2-3-1
25 G. Vicario
15 P. Kalulu
3 Bremer
26 J. Lucumi
2 Z. Celik
29 P. M. Sarr
12 Douglas Luiz
7 F. Conceicao
22 W. McKennie
31 N. Gonzalez
9 R. Kolo Muani
Coach · Luciano Spalletti
Substitutes
40 · R. Radu
23 · C. Pinsoglio
6 · L. Kelly
20 · A. Cambiaso
4 · F. Gatti
24 · D. Rugani
32 · J. Cabal
8 · T. Koopmeiners
27 · N. Woltemade
17 · K. Alajbegovic
11 · E. Zhegrova
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Cagliari
4-3-2-1
1 E. Caprile
2 J. Pedro
26 Y. Mina
15 J. Rodriguez
33 A. Obert
8 M. Adopo
6 H. Winks
4 A. Romano
79 Y. Massolin
70 D. Maldini
31 P. Mendy
Coach · Fabio Pisacane
Substitutes
23 · B. Radunovic
12 · A. Sherri
28 · Y. Sugawara
24 · G. Aurelio
10 · J. Fazzini
32 · I. Sulev
27 · J. Liteta
14 · A. Deiola
21 · R. Gagliardini
22 · R. Kofler
39 · A. Fadera
35 · A. Sugamele
18 · M. Nzola
9 · Kevin
20 · R. Ciervo
Juventus
4-2-3-1
25 G. Vicario
15 P. Kalulu
3 Bremer
26 J. Lucumi
2 Z. Celik
29 P. M. Sarr
12 Douglas Luiz
7 F. Conceicao
22 W. McKennie
31 N. Gonzalez
9 R. Kolo Muani
Coach · Luciano Spalletti
Substitutes
40 · R. Radu
23 · C. Pinsoglio
6 · L. Kelly
20 · A. Cambiaso
4 · F. Gatti
24 · D. Rugani
32 · J. Cabal
8 · T. Koopmeiners
27 · N. Woltemade
17 · K. Alajbegovic
11 · E. Zhegrova
We make Juventus a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 62%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.5.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 61% to 62% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari win | 22% | 14% | +7 |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | +2 |
| Juventus win | 52% | 62% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 47% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 46% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 72% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 28% | −6 |
| Cagliari or draw | 48% | 38% | +10 |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Juventus clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Serie A
CAGLIARI
JUVENTUS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 5 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 | Napoli | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | −2 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | −5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 15 | Monza | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | −6 | 4 |
| 17 | Parma | 6 | −6 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | −7 | 4 |
| 19 | Bologna | 5 | −3 | 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | −9 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Inter
AS Roma
Lazio
AC Milan
Napoli
Como
Frosinone
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Lecce
Udinese
Torino
Monza
Genoa
Parma
Fiorentina
Bologna
Venezia