AS Roma v Cagliari
AS RomaCagliariSerie A · TUE 27 OCT · Stadio Olimpico
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
AS Roma are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: AS Roma 63%, draw 22%, Cagliari 15%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
AS Roma win63%Cagliari win15%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 19:45
RoundMatchday 9
VenueStadio Olimpico
Match timeline
All events
AS RomaMINCagliariEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
AS Roma
Cagliari
Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie A
Last match: 24 Oct · the Italian Serie A
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AS Roma | 7 | +13 | 17 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | −3 | 13 |
Serie A | Cagliari 0-2 Bologna: Sardinian bubble has burstFootball Italia · · Cagliari, Bologna Serie A Liveblog: Napoli-Roma, Lazio-Parma, Como-Sassuolo, Cagliari-BolognaFootball Italia · · Napoli, AS Roma, Lazio, Parma, Como, Sassuolo, Cagliari, Bologna Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make AS Roma a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma win | 63% | 70% | −7 |
| Draw | 22% | 19% | +3 |
| Cagliari win | 15% | 11% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 55% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 46% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 77% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 34% | −7 |
| AS Roma or draw | 85% | 89% | −4 |
| AS Roma clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
| Cagliari clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Serie A this season · since 5 Sept
AS ROMA
CAGLIARI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 7 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 7 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 7 | +13 | 17 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 7 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | −3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Juventus | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | −3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | −2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | −3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | −7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | −8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | −10 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.