Sassuolo W v Parma W prediction · Serie A Women

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sassuolo WDrawParma W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Sassuolo W 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sassuolo W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sassuolo W 45%, draw 26%, Parma W 29%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Sassuolo W v Parma WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Sassuolo W win45%

Draw26%

Parma W win29%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:45

RoundMatchday 5

VenueStadio Enzo Ricci

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sassuolo W

Parma W

14Days since last match13

Last match: 17 Oct · Serie A Women

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie A Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Parma W	3	−4	1
12	Sassuolo W	3	−7	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sassuolo w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Sassuolo W a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sassuolo W v Parma W~~1.40 – 1.05

~~Form · Serie A Women this season · since 26 Sept~~W0 D0 L3 · W0 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 1~~12 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sassuolo W win	45%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Parma W win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Sassuolo W or draw	71%	–	–
Sassuolo W clean sheet	36%	–	–
Parma W clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.7%

0123450 8.6 9.6 4.8 1 12.7 11.8 6.5 2.3 2 8.4 8.5 4.5 3 4.0 4.0 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sassuolo W down, Parma W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 677 Serie A Women matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie A Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sassuolo W at home: 0.33 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Parma W away: 0.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.40 goals for Sassuolo W, 1.05 for Parma W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~SAS 1–0 PAR · PAR 2–1 SAS · SAS 5–4 PAR · PAR 0–1 SAS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Serie A Women this season · since 26 Sept

SASSUOLO W

LLL1–3 · 0–2 · 1–4

PARMA W

DLL0–0 · 1–2 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Roma W	4	+9	12
2	Inter Milano W	4	+7	10
3	Como 1907 W	3	+6	9
4	AC Milan W	4	−1	6
5	Ternana W	4	−2	6
6	Napoli W	4	0	4
7	Fiorentina W	3	0	4
8	Como W	3	−1	4
9	Juventus W	4	−4	3
10	Lazio W	3	−3	1
11	Parma W	3	−4	1
12	Sassuolo W	3	−7	0