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Parma W v Fiorentina W
Parma WFiorentina WSerie A Women · SUN 25 OCT · Stadio Ennio Tardini
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Fiorentina W are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Parma W 24%, draw 25%, Fiorentina W 51%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 45%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Parma W win24%Fiorentina W win51%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 17:00
RoundMatchday 4
VenueStadio Ennio Tardini
RefereeC. Papi
Match timeline
All events
Parma WMINFiorentina WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Parma W
Fiorentina W
Last match: 18 Oct · Serie A Women
Last match: 17 Oct · Serie A Women
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Parma W | 3 | −4 | 1 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Fiorentina W a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are level with the market. The model expects 0.9–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma W win | 24% | 23% | +1 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Fiorentina W win | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 49% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 51% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 72% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 29% | −6 |
| Parma W or draw | 49% | 49% | 0 |
| Parma W clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Fiorentina W clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Serie A Women this season · since 26 Sept
PARMA W
FIORENTINA W
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milano W | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |  Roma W | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |  Como 1907 W | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  AC Milan W | 4 | −1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Ternana W | 4 | −2 | 6 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 |  Como W | 3 | −1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Napoli W | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  Juventus W | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Lazio W | 3 | −3 | 1 |
| 11 | Parma W | 3 | −4 | 1 |
| 12 |  Sassuolo W | 3 | −7 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.