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Juventus W v Roma W

Juventus W
2–5Full time
Roma W

Serie A Women · SAT 24 OCT · Stadio Vittorio Pozzo

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 20:17
Juventus W 2–5 Roma W ROMA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Roma W win41%
The market said35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.536
The market’s Brier score0.634

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Roma W win at 41%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Roma W was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 37–22–41
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Juventus W v Roma W
  4. 5′5′: M. Giugliano on the scoresheet for Roma W, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–19–63
  5. 5′4′: M. Giugliano on the scoresheet for Roma W, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 17–19–63
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Juventus W 0–1 Roma W · M. Giugliano
  7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Roma W win: 41% at kick-off, 63% now
  8. 6′We published Roma W at 41%. Our model now makes it 63%. 0–1 · 17–19–63
  9. 10′Roma W ahead on 10′ through G. Pellegrino. 0–2. 0–2 · 6–10–83
  10. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Juventus W 0–2 Roma W · G. Pellegrino
  11. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Roma W win: 41% at kick-off, 83% now
  12. 11′We published Roma W at 41%. Our model now makes it 84%. 0–2 · 6–10–84
  13. 14′A. Corelli scores for Roma W on 13′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 2–4–94
  14. 14′We published Roma W at 41%. Our model now makes it 94%. 0–3 · 2–4–94
  15. 14′⚽ GOAL · 13' Juventus W 0–3 Roma W · A. Corelli
  16. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Roma W win: 41% at kick-off, 94% now
  17. 17′We published Roma W at 41%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–3 · 2–4–95
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Juventus W 0–4 Roma W
  19. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Juventus W · On: D. Noordman · Off: R. Chiba
  20. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Juventus W · On: M. Pavan · Off: A. Sarriegi
  21. 46′SECOND HALF Juventus W 0–4 Roma W
  22. 49′45′: M. Giugliano on the scoresheet for Roma W, making it 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  23. 49′We published Roma W at 41%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  24. 49′⚽ GOAL · 45+4' Juventus W 0–4 Roma W · M. Giugliano (penalty)
  25. 50′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  26. 55′Juventus W pull one back on 54′ through A. Redondo. 1–4. 1–4 · 0–1–99
  27. 55′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–1–99
  28. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Juventus W 1–4 Roma W · A. Redondo
  29. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Juventus W · On: F. D'Auria · Off: C. Salvai
  30. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 59' F. D'Auria · Juventus W
  31. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Juventus W · On: C. Libran · Off: J. Bartel
  32. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Roma W · On: M. Doms · Off: M. Pandini
  33. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Roma W · On: A. Pilgrim · Off: A. Corelli
  34. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' M. Rosucci · Juventus W
  35. 78′M. Pavan scores for Juventus W on 77′ — 2–4. 2–4 · 0–1–98
  36. 78′6 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–1–98
  37. 78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Juventus W 2–4 Roma W · M. Pavan
  38. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Juventus W · On: A. Serturini · Off: E. Carbonell
  39. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Roma W · On: V. Bergamaschi · Off: G. Pellegrino
  40. 89′89′: V. Bergamaschi on the scoresheet for Roma W, making it 2–5. 2–5 · 0–0–100
  41. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Juventus W 2–5 Roma W · V. Bergamaschi
  42. 91′That is 7, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–5 · 0–0–100
  43. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Roma W · On: M. Piemonte · Off: M. Giugliano
  44. FTFULL TIME Juventus W 2–5 Roma W
  45. FTJuventus W 2–5 Roma W · Roma W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Roma W just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Juventus W 37%, draw 22%, Roma W 41%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Juventus W v Roma WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Juventus W win37%
Draw22%
Roma W win41%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 4

VenueStadio Vittorio Pozzo

RefereeG. Castellano

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Juventus W

Roma W

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie A Women

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie A Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Roma W3+69
9Juventus W3−13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · roma w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off
41% The market35%
Us41%
Market35%

We make Roma W a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Juventus W v Roma W1.56 – 1.65
Form · Serie A Women this season · since 26 SeptW1 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L0
Table places · points 3 v 99 v 2
The market · Roma W win35% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:58
Our probability · Roma W win The market, margin stripped

Published at 38%, 41% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Juventus W win37%39%−2
Draw22%26%−4
Roma W win41%35%+6
Over 2.5 goals62%57%+5
Both teams to score62%61%+1
Over 1.5 goals82%79%+3
Over 3.5 goals40%36%+4
Juventus W or draw59%65%−6
Juventus W clean sheet20%––
Roma W clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%
0123450 3.8 7.4 5.5 3.1 1 7.0 9.7 8.3 4.6 2 5.0 7.9 6.4 3.5 3 2.6 4.1 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Juventus W down, Roma W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.40
Over 2.57 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsJUV 2–2 ROM · JUV 0–1 ROM · JUV 0–1 ROM · ROM 1–1 JUV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Serie A Women this season · since 26 Sept

JUVENTUS W

WLL3–1 · 1–2 · 2–4

ROMA W

WWW3–1 · 3–1 · 4–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Inter Milano W3+79
2Roma W3+69
3Como 1907 W3+69
4AC Milan W4−16
5Ternana W4−26
6Fiorentina W304
7Como W3−14
8Napoli W303
9Juventus W3−13
10Lazio W3−31
11Parma W3−41
12Sassuolo W3−70

The competition's standings before kick-off.