Home › Football › Serie A Women › Como W v Fiorentina W
Back

Como W v Fiorentina W
Como W
Fiorentina WSerie A Women · SAT 17 OCT · Stadio Ferruccio
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Fiorentina W win at 39%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Fiorentina W 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 35–26–39
- 1′KICK-OFF Como W v Fiorentina W
- 31′I. Omarsdottir scores for Fiorentina W on 30′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 10–21–69
- 31′We said Fiorentina W at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 0–1 · 10–21–69
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Como W 0–1 Fiorentina W · I. Omarsdottir
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Fiorentina W win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
- 32′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 10–21–69
- 35′We said Fiorentina W at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
- 41′SUBSTITUTION · 40' Fiorentina W · On: A. Cerrato · Off: M. Cortes
- 45′HALF-TIME Como W 0–1 Fiorentina W
- 46′SECOND HALF Como W 0–1 Fiorentina W
- 48′46′: M. Bergersen on the scoresheet for Como W, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 27–42–30
- 48′Little has changed for our model: Fiorentina W 39% before kick-off, 30% now. 1–1 · 27–42–30
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 46' Como W 1–1 Fiorentina W · M. Bergersen
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Fiorentina W win: 39% at kick-off, 30% now
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Fiorentina W win 30%)
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Fiorentina W win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
- 56′We said Fiorentina W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 25–48–27
- 58′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–1 · 24–50–26
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Como W · On: G. Moretti · Off: A. Chidiac
- 63′We said Fiorentina W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 22–54–24
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Fiorentina W · On: I. Chacon · Off: S. Bredgaard
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Fiorentina W · On: L. Hurtig · Off: I. Van Der Zanden
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Fiorentina W · On: E. Faerge · Off: I. Omarsdottir
- 71′We said Fiorentina W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Fiorentina W win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
- 78′We said Fiorentina W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–74–14
- 83′We said Fiorentina W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Fiorentina W win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Como W · On: L. Serra · Off: M. Zamboni
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Como W · On: V. Vigilucci · Off: L. Borbye
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Fiorentina W · On: B. Orsi · Off: E. Snerle
- 90′We said Fiorentina W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Como W 1–1 Fiorentina W
- FTComo W 1–1 Fiorentina W · Fiorentina W win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassClose to call, with Fiorentina W just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Como W 35%, draw 26%, Fiorentina W 39%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Como W win35%
Fiorentina W win39%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 3
VenueStadio Ferruccio
RefereeF. Aloise
Match timeline
All events
Como WMIN
Fiorentina WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Como W
Fiorentina W
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Como W
Fiorentina W
Last match: 4 Oct · Serie A Women
Last match: 3 Oct · Serie A Women
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Como W
Formation not confirmed
22 A. Gilardi
2 A. Marcussen
5 S. Howard
3 K. Ronan
77 L. Borbye
20 F. Simonetti
6 M. Bergersen
10 A. Chidiac
27 M. Zamboni
7 N. Nischler
12 A. Nielsen
Coach · Stefano Sottili
Substitutes
32 · S. Babb
30 · G. Ruma
14 · C. Cecotti
21 · M. Viesti
8 · L. Hubaut
11 · F. Berisha
24 · C. Bianchi
19 · L. Serra
17 · V. Vigilucci
9 · V. Bernardi
16 · G. Moretti
Fiorentina W
Formation not confirmed
1 C. Fiskerstrand
22 I. Van Der Zanden
4 G. Bergsvand
19 C. Correia
3 O. Johansen
21 E. Severini
6 M. Cortes
7 K. Tryggvadottir
14 S. Bredgaard
51 I. Omarsdottir
18 E. Snerle
Coach · Jesus Pinones-Arce Pablo
Substitutes
28 · V. Bartalini
23 · G. Bettineschi
2 · E. Woldvik
5 · A. Tortelli
85 · M. Filangeri
44 · E. Faerge
20 · B. Orsi
16 · E. Lombardi
26 · M. Cherubini
8 · L. Hurtig
79 · A. Cerrato
11 · I. Chacon
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Como W
Formation not confirmed
22 A. Gilardi
2 A. Marcussen
5 S. Howard
3 K. Ronan
77 L. Borbye
20 F. Simonetti
6 M. Bergersen
10 A. Chidiac
27 M. Zamboni
7 N. Nischler
12 A. Nielsen
Coach · Stefano Sottili
Substitutes
32 · S. Babb
30 · G. Ruma
14 · C. Cecotti
21 · M. Viesti
8 · L. Hubaut
11 · F. Berisha
24 · C. Bianchi
19 · L. Serra
17 · V. Vigilucci
9 · V. Bernardi
16 · G. Moretti
Fiorentina W
Formation not confirmed
1 C. Fiskerstrand
22 I. Van Der Zanden
4 G. Bergsvand
19 C. Correia
3 O. Johansen
21 E. Severini
6 M. Cortes
7 K. Tryggvadottir
14 S. Bredgaard
51 I. Omarsdottir
18 E. Snerle
Coach · Jesus Pinones-Arce Pablo
Substitutes
28 · V. Bartalini
23 · G. Bettineschi
2 · E. Woldvik
5 · A. Tortelli
85 · M. Filangeri
44 · E. Faerge
20 · B. Orsi
16 · E. Lombardi
26 · M. Cherubini
8 · L. Hurtig
79 · A. Cerrato
11 · I. Chacon
We make Fiorentina W a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 40%, 39% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Como W win | 35% | 26% | +9 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | −1 |
| Fiorentina W win | 39% | 47% | −8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 48% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 72% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 28% | −4 |
| Como W or draw | 61% | 53% | +8 |
| Como W clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Fiorentina W clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Serie A Women this season · since 27 Sept
COMO W
FIORENTINA W
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roma W | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 | Como 1907 W | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Inter Milano W | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 4 | Juventus W | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ternana W | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Como W | 2 | −1 | 3 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 2 | −2 | 3 |
| 9 | Parma W | 2 | −1 | 1 |
| 10 | Lazio W | 2 | −2 | 1 |
| 11 | Napoli W | 2 | −3 | 0 |
| 12 | Sassuolo W | 2 | −4 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Roma W
Como 1907 W
Inter Milano W
Juventus W
Ternana W
AC Milan W
Parma W
Lazio W
Napoli W
Sassuolo W