Como 1907 W v Sassuolo W prediction · Serie A Women

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Como 1907 WDrawSassuolo W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Como 1907 W 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Como 1907 W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Como 1907 W 61%, draw 18%, Sassuolo W 21%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Como 1907 W v Sassuolo WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Como 1907 W win61%

Draw18%

Sassuolo W win21%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 4

VenueStadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

RefereeD. Kovacevic

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Como 1907 W

Sassuolo W

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie A Women

Last match: 17 Oct · Serie A Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Como 1907 W	3	+6	9
12	Sassuolo W	3	−7	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · como 1907 w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Como 1907 W a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.3, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Como 1907 W v Sassuolo W~~2.37 – 1.27

~~Form · Serie A Women this season · since 26 Sept~~W3 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 0~~3 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Como 1907 W win	61%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Sassuolo W win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Como 1907 W or draw	79%	–	–
Como 1907 W clean sheet	29%	–	–
Sassuolo W clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.8%

0123450 2.8 4.1 2.3 1 7.1 7.7 5.0 2.1 2 7.4 8.8 5.5 2.4 3 5.7 6.7 4.2 4 3.4 4.0 2.5 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Como 1907 W down, Sassuolo W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 677 Serie A Women matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Serie A Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Como 1907 W at home: 4.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 1). Sassuolo W away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Como 1907 W, 1.27 for Sassuolo W. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Serie A Women this season · since 26 Sept

COMO 1907 W

WWW4–1 · 2–1 · 4–2

SASSUOLO W

LLL1–3 · 0–2 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Roma W	4	+9	12
2	Inter Milano W	4	+7	10
3	Como 1907 W	3	+6	9
4	AC Milan W	4	−1	6
5	Ternana W	4	−2	6
6	Napoli W	4	0	4
7	Fiorentina W	3	0	4
8	Como W	3	−1	4
9	Juventus W	4	−4	3
10	Lazio W	3	−3	1
11	Parma W	3	−4	1
12	Sassuolo W	3	−7	0