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Model 1.2

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Villa Valle v Brusaporto

Villa Valle
19:00Upcoming
Brusaporto

Coppa Italia Serie D · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Villa ValleDrawBrusaporto
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Villa Valle 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Villa Valle are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Villa Valle 40%, draw 29%, Brusaporto 32%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Villa Valle v BrusaportoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Villa Valle win40%
Draw29%
Brusaporto win32%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 19:00

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Villa Valle

Brusaporto

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

Last match: 24 Oct · Serie D - Girone B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · villa valle winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off
40% The market–
Us40%

We make Villa Valle a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Villa Valle v Brusaporto1.25 – 1.08
Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 OctW0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 02:26
Our probability · Villa Valle win

Published at 39%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Villa Valle win40%––
Draw29%––
Brusaporto win32%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score47%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Villa Valle or draw68%––
Villa Valle clean sheet34%––
Brusaporto clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%
0123450 10.4 10.1 5.7 2.1 1 11.7 13.3 7.0 2.6 2 7.5 8.0 4.3 3 3.2 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Villa Valle down, Brusaporto across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.67
Over 2.55 of 9
Both scored6 of 9
Last meetingsVIL 2–1 BRU · VIL 2–1 BRU · BRU 1–1 VIL · BRU 0–4 VIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 Oct

VILLA VALLE

D1–1

BRUSAPORTO

W2–1