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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Coppa Italia Serie D › Valenzana v Biellese

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Valenzana v Biellese

Valenzana
13:30Upcoming
Biellese

Coppa Italia Serie D · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ValenzanaDrawBiellese
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Biellese 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Biellese are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Valenzana 21%, draw 23%, Biellese 56%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Valenzana v BielleseBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Valenzana win21%
Draw23%
Biellese win56%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Valenzana

Biellese

10Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone A

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone A

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · biellese winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Biellese a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Valenzana v Biellese1.02 – 1.86
Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 OctW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Valenzana win21%––
Draw23%––
Biellese win56%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score53%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Valenzana or draw44%––
Valenzana clean sheet17%––
Biellese clean sheet37%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%
0123450 6.6 10.2 9.4 5.8 2.8 1 5.7 10.9 9.3 5.7 2.8 2 3.1 5.3 4.7 2.9 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Valenzana down, Biellese across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsBIE 4–1 VAL · VAL 0–2 BIE · BIE 2–0 VAL · BIE 1–0 VAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 Oct

VALENZANA

W3–2

BIELLESE

W3–2