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Model 1.2

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Robur Siena v Ancona

Robur Siena
17:00Upcoming
Ancona

Coppa Italia Serie D · WED 28 OCT · Stadio del Conero

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Robur SienaDrawAncona
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Robur Siena 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Robur Siena are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Robur Siena 47%, draw 26%, Ancona 26%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Robur Siena v AnconaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Robur Siena win47%
Draw26%
Ancona win26%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:00

RoundRound of 32

VenueStadio del Conero

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Robur Siena

Ancona

10Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone F

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · robur siena winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Robur Siena a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Robur Siena v Ancona1.53 – 1.08
Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 OctW1 D0 L0 · W0 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Robur Siena win47%––
Draw26%––
Ancona win26%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Robur Siena or draw74%––
Robur Siena clean sheet34%––
Ancona clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 7.8 7.5 4.3 1 10.9 12.5 6.5 2.3 2 8.6 9.3 5.0 3 4.4 4.8 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Robur Siena down, Ancona across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.25
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsROB 0–0 ANC · ANC 1–1 ROB · ROB 1–1 ANC · ANC 3–2 ROB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 Oct

ROBUR SIENA

W3–0

ANCONA

D1–1