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Model 1.2

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Prato v Ternana

Prato
13:30Upcoming
Ternana

Coppa Italia Serie D · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PratoDrawTernana
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Ternana 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ternana are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Prato 23%, draw 28%, Ternana 49%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Prato v TernanaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

Prato win23%
Draw28%
Ternana win49%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Prato

Ternana

10Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone E

Last match: 21 Oct · Coppa Italia Serie D

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ternana winFirst published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Ternana a 49% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Prato v Ternana0.87 – 1.40
Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 OctW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Prato win23%––
Draw28%––
Ternana win49%––
Over 2.5 goals40%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals20%––
Prato or draw51%––
Prato clean sheet25%––
Ternana clean sheet42%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.0%
0123450 10.7 14.0 10.1 4.7 1 8.5 13.0 8.8 4.1 2 3.9 5.5 3.8 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Prato down, Ternana across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsPRA 1–0 TER

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 Oct

PRATO

W3–0

TERNANA

W5–1