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Model 1.2

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Modica v Licata

Modica
13:30Upcoming
Licata

Coppa Italia Serie D · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ModicaDrawLicata
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Modica 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Modica are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Modica 47%, draw 25%, Licata 28%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Modica v LicataBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Modica win47%
Draw25%
Licata win28%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:30

RoundRound of 32

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Modica

Licata

17Days since last match10

Last match: 11 Oct · Serie D - Girone I

Last match: 18 Oct · Serie D - Girone I

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · modica winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Modica a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Modica v Licata1.61 – 1.17
Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 OctW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Modica win47%––
Draw25%––
Licata win28%––
Over 2.5 goals52%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals30%––
Modica or draw72%––
Modica clean sheet32%––
Licata clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 7.2 7.1 4.3 1 9.9 11.7 6.5 2.6 2 8.0 8.8 5.1 2.0 3 4.3 4.8 2.8 4 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Modica down, Licata across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Coppa Italia Serie D this season · since 7 Oct

MODICA

W4–0

LICATA

W2–1